The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Louisville City 63.6%
Draw 21.9%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.5%
23.8%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
23.1%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Faundez D. (G) 16. Moguel C. 4. Totsch S. 32. Adams K. (C) 2. McFadden A. 8. Davila T. 6. Duncan Z. 15. Perez E. 47. Akale M. 14. Showunmi T. 25. Wilson J.
1. Campuzano N. (G) 13. Viera M. 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 4. Kelp L. 3. Barnes P. 42. Walti J. 10. Ahl C. 19. Bassett S. 14. Mertz R. (C) 7. Amann T.
Substitutes
27. Davila E. 13. Dia A. 9. Donovan C. 1. Fauroux H. (G) 23. Gleadle S. 21. Huerman Q. 7. Serrano R. 97. Weinrich T.
8. Etou B. 27. Flowers-Gamboa A. 18. Garcia J. 37. Goldthorp E. 17. Larsen B. 28. Osumanu I. 24. Sheridan M. (G)
Coaches
Bird S.
Vincent R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Amann T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wilson J. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
46', Akale M. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Bassett S. ⚽, Ahl C. (A),
61', Viera M. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
61', Souza V. ↓, Osumanu I. ↑,
61', Moguel C. 🟨,
67', Totsch S. 🟨,
72', Duncan Z. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
74', Moguel C. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
77', Ahl C. ↓, Larsen B. ↑,
87', Adams K. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,
90', Bassett S. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Louisville City is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:14. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Louisville City - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.49%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.
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North-central-america
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Faundez D. (G) 
Adams K. (C) 
Duncan Z. 
Showunmi T. 
Campuzano N. (G) 
Kelp L. 
Fauroux H. (G) 
Etou B. 
Larsen B. 
Osumanu I. 
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