Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 26

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Inhulets		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.55
	2.12	3.35	3.1
	2.07	3.42	2.86
	2.08	3.13	3.49	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.5
	2.08	3.38	3.08
	2	3.07	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2)	3.18 ↑ (3.07)	2.98 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
41.3%

Draw
28.4%

Probiy Horodenka
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Inhulets - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhylkin A. (G) 3. Dykhtyaruk O. 77. Kasimov D. 2. Malysh S. (C) 59. Mogylnyi B. 25. Rozhko V. 88. Svystun Vadymovych K. 10. Tlumak Y. 44. Ursolov S. 69. Yanovich Y. 78. Yevtushenko O.	25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 31. Borysevych R. (C) 8. Drygan B. 98. Fesenko A. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 16. Guk I. 6. Ivanychuk V. 9. Kalyn V. 17. Khromey M. 10. Orynchak B. 5. Savchyn V.
Substitutes
97. Arkusha D. 35. Banyk D. 8. Benediuk A. 7. Bezkleynyi D. 5. Dankovskyi Y. 4. Dubilei V. 9. Knyazev Y. 21. Manastyrnyi O. 11. Profatilo Y. 91. Ryazantsev Y. 24. Slutskyi O. (G) 30. Tuzenko D.	12. Barabanov V. (G) 23. Drekalo A. 30. Felipovych V. 21. Girnyi M. 29. Pilhanchuk D. 2. Radulskyi V. 19. Tkachenko R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Khromey M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Benediuk A. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Tuzenko D. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Kasimov D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).

Inhulets has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Probiy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Probiy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Inhulets is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inhulets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Inhulets	9	4	2	3	10:11	-1	14
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	8:27	-19	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.04.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Inhulets - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Inhulets	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Inhulets - UCSA	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTLL
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Probiy Horodenka	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - UCSA	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Vorskla Poltava - Probiy Horodenka	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Inhulets	0:1
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Probiy Horodenka - Inhulets	3:2 penalties

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