Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 25

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Probiy Horodenka		Metalurh Zaporizhya

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	5.7
	1.39	4.28	6.24
	1.52	3.82	6.04	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5
	1.45	3.72	7.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.49)	3.86 ↓ (4.25)	6.01 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Probiy Horodenka
61.3%

Draw
23.5%

Metalurh Zaporizhya
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

21.6%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

20.7%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Probiy Horodenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Probiy Horodenka - Metalurh Zaporizhya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 18. Bliznichenko A. 31. Borysevych R. (C) 98. Fesenko A. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 16. Guk I. 15. Kharuk R. 17. Khromey M. 10. Orynchak B. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Sikach M.	1. Bayda N. (C) 77. Bandurin A. 19. Borysenko V. 7. Irodovskyi D. 22. Izotov D. 50. Kirichenko D. 27. Klymenko V. 28. Rudavskyi M. 97. Seytkhalilov S. 16. Vorona M. 17. Yurechko I.
Substitutes
90. Babanin V. 12. Barabanov V. (G) 23. Drekalo A. 8. Drygan B. 30. Felipovych V. 21. Girnyi M. 6. Ivanychuk V. 9. Kalyn V. 11. Lyashenko A. 29. Pilhanchuk D. 19. Tkachenko R.	3. Doroshenko D. 29. Lisnyak R. 25. Misanov M. 76. Mokrytskyi V. (G) 8. Savitskyi A. 23. Slyusar D. 90. Zaichenko Y. 10. Zelinskyi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Probiy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Metalurh Z has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Probiy is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Probiy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	8:27	-19	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.04.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Probiy Horodenka	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - UCSA	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Vorskla Poltava - Probiy Horodenka	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Nyva Ternopil - Probiy Horodenka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWWT
- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.04.26	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:6 ✺
12.04.26	Inhulets - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	UCSA - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.10.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Probiy Horodenka	0:1

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