Match Info

Date: 24 September 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Innstrandens		Tiller

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Innstrandens
27.9%

Draw
19.5%

Tiller
52.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

21.7%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

20.8%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Innstrandens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Tiller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tiller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Innstrandens than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiller than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tiller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Innstrandens is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tiller is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tiller will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Innstrandens won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Innstrandens IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
18.09.22	Strindheim - Innstrandens	6:0 ✺
11.09.22	Kolstad - Innstrandens	1:0 ✺
04.09.22	Innstrandens - Trygg Lade	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	Melhus - Innstrandens	1:2 ✺
21.08.22	Innstrandens - Rana	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWL
- Tiller IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
18.09.22	Tiller - Rana	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Tiller - Nardo	4:3 ✺
03.09.22	Orkla FK - Tiller	4:3 ✺
27.08.22	Junkeren - Tiller	6:0 ✺
22.08.22	Tiller - Rosenborg II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLLT

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
08.05.22	Tiller - Innstrandens	1:2

Innstrandens - Tiller