Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Tiller		Rana

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.5	1.45
	5.04	4.5	1.42
	5.21	4.5	1.48
	5.5	4.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (3.97)	4.5 ↑ (4.14)	1.45 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tiller
17.1%

Draw
20.2%

Rana
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

21.9%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

21.3%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiller's form might have worsened.

Rana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiller than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rana than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tiller - Rana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Beyene S. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Olsen T. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Morkved K. F. ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, Austberg I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 2 - 3, Froysa B. ⚽,
81', Austberg I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Tiller is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rana in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tiller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tiller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiller IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
05.10.24	Verdal - Tiller	1:3 ✺
28.09.24	Tiller - Lillestrøm 2	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Stabæk 2 - Tiller	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Tiller - Nardo	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Mosjøen - Tiller	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTTWT
- Rana FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
06.10.24	Rana - Rosenborg II	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Melhus - Rana	1:4 ✺
22.09.24	Rana - Trygg Lade	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Rana	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	Rana - Verdal	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
18.06.23	Rana - Tiller	2:1
18.09.22	Tiller - Rana	0:1
11.06.22	Rana - Tiller	1:3

Tiller - Rana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide