Match Info

MLS

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Chase Stadium (Fort Lauderdale, FL)

Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC


	Inter Miami		FC Dallas

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.6
	1.92	4	3.75	Watch
	2.04	3.75	3.78
	1.81	3.82	4.25	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.4
	1.85	4.07	3.8	Watch
	1.92	4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.67)	3.85 ↓ (4.32)	3.77 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Miami
50%

Draw
24.7%

FC Dallas
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

22.3%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

21.9%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.

FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Dallas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Dallas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	13.3%	13.3%

Inter Miami - FC Dallas Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Inter Miami (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Dallas (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Inter Miami (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Inter Miami (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Dallas (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Dallas (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Miami will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Dallas (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Callender D. (G) 17. Fray I. 6. Aviles T. 2. Lujan G. 37. Falcon M. 14. Martinez D. 7. Picault F. 30. Cremaschi B. 42. Bright Y. 22. Leo Afonso 29. Obando A.	1. Paes M. (G) 18. Moore S. 25. Ibeagha S. 3. Urhoghide O. 32. Norris N. 55. Kaick 17. Ramiro 11. Julio Santos A. A. 21. Show 10. Acosta L. 23. Farrington L.
Substitutes
21. Allende T. 32. Allen N. 5. Busquets S. 81. Morales S. 55. Redondo Solari F. 34. Rios R. (G) 15. Sailor R. 8. Segovia T. 57. Weigandt M.	5. Abubakar L. 22. Augusto A. 30. Collodi M. (G) 6. Delgado P. 50. Garcia D. 77. Kamungo B. 16. Ntsabeleng T. 20. Pedrinho 41. Scott T.
Coaches
Mascherano J.	Quill E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Moore S. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Moore S. (Own goal),
29', 2 - 1, Obando A. ⚽, Fray I. (A), Aviles T. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
56', 3 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
58', Norris N. ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
58', Show ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Urhoghide O. ⚽,
65', Falcon M. ↓, Allen N. ↑,
65', Leo Afonso ↓, Redondo Solari F. ↑,
69', 3 - 3, Julio Santos A. A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
75', Obando A. ↓, Allende T. ↑,
75', Bright Y. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
81', 3 - 4, Pedrinho ⚽, Farrington L. (A),
83', Acosta L. 🟨,
88', Farrington L. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
90+1', Acosta L. ↓, Ntsabeleng T. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Dallas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Inter Miami is a favorite.

There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Sailor R. (Concussion)

There will not play in Dallas: Farfan M. (Leg Injury) Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Leo Chu (Knee Injury) Musa P. (Ankle Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter Miami won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.4:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Inter Miami won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Miami
CONCACAF Champions Cup
24.04.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Inter Miami	2:0 ✺
MLS
19.04.25	Columbus Crew - Inter Miami	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Chicago Fire - Inter Miami	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
09.04.25	Inter Miami - Los Angeles	3:1 ✺
MLS
06.04.25	Inter Miami - Toronto FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTWT
- FC Dallas
MLS
19.04.25	Minnesota United - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	FC Dallas - Seattle Sounders	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Atlanta United - FC Dallas	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	FC Dallas - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.01.24	FC Dallas - Inter Miami	1:0
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.23	FC Dallas - Inter Miami	4:5 penalties
MLS
08.04.23	Inter Miami - FC Dallas	0:1
04.07.22	FC Dallas - Inter Miami	1:1
28.10.20	FC Dallas - Inter Miami	2:1

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