Match Info

MLS

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	New England Revolution		Inter Miami

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.8	2.2	Watch
	2.6	3.7	2.37
	2.85	3.95	2.22	Watch
	2.97	3.99	2.24
				Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.4
	2.89	3.87	2.29	Watch
	2.49	3.65	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.49)	3.79 ↑ (3.65)	2.32 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New England Revolution
34.2%

Draw
25%

Inter Miami
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.5%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

25.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.8%	14.7%	76.5%

New England Revolution - Inter Miami Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 25 - 80.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 66.7% – 94.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - New England (2.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - New England (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - New England (2.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - New England (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Miami will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Inter Miami (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ivacic A. (G) 3. Ceballos B. 4. Beason T. 2. Fofana M. 25. Miller P. 80. Yusuf A. 8. Polster M. 10. Gil C. 15. Bye B. 9. Campana L. 41. Langoni L.	19. Ustari O. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 37. Falcon M. 6. Aviles T. 18. Alba J. 21. Allende T. 55. Redondo Solari F. 5. Busquets S. 11. Rodriguez B. 9. Suarez L. 10. Messi L.
Substitutes
7. Chancalay T. 11. Diaz L. 5. Hughes K. 16. Omsberg W. 18. Oyirwoth A. 33. Parisian D. (G) 23. Sands W. 37. Urruti M. 14. Yueill J.	30. Cremaschi B. 22. Leo Afonso 14. Martinez D. 81. Morales S. 29. Obando A. 7. Picault F. 34. Rios R. (G) 15. Sailor R. 8. Segovia T.
Coaches
Porter C.	Mascherano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Messi L. ⚽,
34', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Messi L. ⚽, Busquets S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Campana L. 🟨,
55', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
62', Beason T. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
63', Rodriguez B. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
70', Langoni L. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
75', Falcon M. 🟨,
77', Bye B. ↓, Urruti M. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Gil C. ⚽,
81', Allende T. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
87', Suarez L. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 2.

New England is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Inter Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury)

There will not play in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Callender D. (Groin Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, New England won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, New England won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New England Revolution
MLS
05.07.25	Portland Timbers - New England Revolution	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	New England Revolution - Colorado Rapids	3:3 ✺
25.06.25	New England Revolution - Nashville SC	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	New England Revolution - Cincinnati	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	CF Montréal - New England Revolution	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLW
- Inter Miami
MLS
05.07.25	CF Montréal - Inter Miami	1:4 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
29.06.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Miami	4:0 ✺
23.06.25	Inter Miami - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
19.06.25	Inter Miami - Porto	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Inter Miami	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
19.10.24	Inter Miami - New England Revolution	6:2
27.04.24	New England Revolution - Inter Miami	1:4
10.06.23	New England Revolution - Inter Miami	3:1
13.05.23	Inter Miami - New England Revolution	2:1
30.04.22	New England Revolution - Inter Miami	2:0
09.04.22	Inter Miami - New England Revolution	3:2
07.11.21	New England Revolution - Inter Miami	0:1

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