Match Info

MLS

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toyota Stadium (Frisco, TX) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	20:30	MLS Season Pass
International	00:30	Apple TV International


	FC Dallas		Columbus Crew

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.9	2.85	Watch
	2.20	3.75	2.87
	2.15	3.6	2.9
	2.25	3.94	3.02
	2.21	3.97	2.87	Watch
	2.18	3.85	2.95
	2.24	3.91	3.04	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.9)	3.83 ↓ (3.9)	2.93 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Dallas
43.1%

Draw
24.7%

Columbus Crew
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

23.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Dallas's form might have worsened.

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Dallas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

FC Dallas - Columbus Crew Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Columbus will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Daniel (G) 18. Moore S. 3. Urhoghide O. 32. Norris N. 6. Binyamin R. 17. Ramiro (C) 12. Cappis C. 77. Kamungo B. 8. Delgado P. 9. Musa P. 10. Moreno S.	28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 11. Lennon B. 7. Chambost D. 16. Habroune T. 21. Zaroury A. 23. Farsi M. 33. Tapia G. 8. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
5. Abubakar L. 25. Ibeagha S. 7. Job D. 14. Johansson H. 11. Julio Santos A. A. 55. Kaick 40. Sirois J. (G) 27. Swann C. 21. Valiente J.	39. Gbamble K. 26. Giaccone L. 20. Gomes A. 1. Hagen N. (G) 2. Herrera A. 50. Karumanchi T. 77. Martinez J. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 19. Thiare J.
Coaches
Quill E.	Courtois L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Norris N. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Tapia G. ⚽, Zaroury A. (A),
31', Moore S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Binyamin R. ↓, Johansson H. ↑,
46', Delgado P. ↓, Job D. ↑,
58', Zaroury A. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
66', Ramiro ↓, Kaick ↑,
66', Moreno S. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
76', Norris N. ↓, Julio Santos A. A. ↑,
79', Rodriguez S. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
79', Tapia G. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
83', Cappis C. 🟨,
87', Johansson H. 🟨,
90', Habroune T. ↓, Karumanchi T. ↑,
90+6', Herrera A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 10th).

Dallas is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 0.

Dallas has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Columbus have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Columbus may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Dallas holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Dallas: Sarver S. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Knee Injury) Bangoura S. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Dallas: Farrington L. (Lower-Body Injury) Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Columbus: Camacho R. (Chest Injury) Gomes A. (Back Injury).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Dallas has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dallas against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:8 goals (averaging 1.2:1.6 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

FC Dallas: 4.8% Columbus Crew: 1.11%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dallas
MLS
24.10.26	FC Dallas - San Jose Earthquakes	3:0 ✺
17.10.26	Houston Dynamo - FC Dallas	2:2 ✺
14.10.26	FC Dallas - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Charlotte - FC Dallas	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	FC Dallas - Los Angeles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWLW
- Columbus Crew
MLS
24.10.26	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	4:2 ✺
US Open Cup
21.10.26	Columbus Crew - St. Louis City	0:1 penalties ✺
MLS
18.10.26	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Columbus Crew - Charlotte	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Orlando City - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
23.09.23	FC Dallas - Columbus Crew	1:1
03.10.20	FC Dallas - Columbus Crew	2:2
16.03.19	Columbus Crew - FC Dallas	1:0
15.09.18	FC Dallas - Columbus Crew	0:0
26.08.17	Columbus Crew - FC Dallas	2:1
02.04.16	FC Dallas - Columbus Crew	1:1
06.09.15	Columbus Crew - FC Dallas	0:3

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