Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	20:30	Meraj TV
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	—	Q Football Asia
Australia	02:00	beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN, Laola1
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	11:00	ESPN 5
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 3
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN 5
Finland	19:00	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:00	DAZN France
Germany	18:00	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Italy	18:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	ART Sport 1
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football
Malta	18:00	TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
Paraguay	12:00	ESPN 5
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	19:00	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 1
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	18:00	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Inter Milan		Napoli

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.90	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.90	5.25
	1.63	3.80	5.20	Watch
	1.67	3.91	5.90
	1.68	3.83	5.38	Watch
	1.65	3.80	5.80
	1.66	4.11	5.40
	1.66	4.10	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.76)	3.92 ↑ (3.55)	5.47 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
58.1%

Draw
24.4%

Napoli
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.6%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	9.1%	4.5%

Inter Milan - Napoli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Inter (1.15) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Napoli (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 2 - 40%). Napoli (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez J. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 17. Diouf A. 23. Barella N. 7. Zielinski P. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 94. Esposito F. 10. Martinez L. (C)	1. Meret A. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 16. Marin R. 37. Spinazzola L. 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 26. Vergara A. 21. Politano M. 19. Hojlund R. 27. Alisson Santos
Substitutes
14. Bonny A. 20. Calhanoglu H. 30. Carlos Augusto 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 21. Jones C. 11. Luis Henrique 22. Mkhitaryan H. 28. Pavard B. 49. Provedel I. (G) 5. Stankovic A. 6. Stones J. 9. Thuram M.	5. Badiashile B. 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 7. David Neres 11. De Bruyne K. 2. Favasuli C. 6. Gilmour B. 70. Lang N. 20. Lucca L. 32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 17. Olivera M.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Allegri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Vergara A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Esposito F. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
46', Sucic P. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Politano M. ⚽,
53', 0 - 2, Hojlund R. ⚽, Di Lorenzo G. (A),
56', 1 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
62', Vergara A. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
62', Politano M. ↓, David Neres ↑,
62', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
68', Martinez L. 🟨,
72', Hojlund R. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
72', Zielinski P. ↓, Calhanoglu H. ↑,
77', Marin R. 🟨,
79', Bastoni A. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
79', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
80', Alisson Santos ↓, Badiashile B. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Thuram M. ⚽, Carlos Augusto (A),
90+1', 3 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Akanji M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 0.

Inter is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Napoli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Napoli has had a series of home games.

In this match, Inter is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A. (Knee Injury) Giovane (Groin Injury) Marianucci L. (Knee Injury) McTominay S. (Heart Problems)

There are questionable in Inter: Spence D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Napoli: Badiashile B. (Lacking Match Fitness)

We predict that Inter will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	9	8	1	0	25:10	15	25
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	6	14

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 52.18% Napoli: 1.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.71%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Inter Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Inter Milan - Betis	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Juventus - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWT
- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Genoa - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Napoli - Aris	6:2 ✺
05.08.26	Napoli - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Napoli - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.01.26	Inter Milan - Napoli	2:2
25.10.25	Napoli - Inter Milan	3:1
01.03.25	Napoli - Inter Milan	1:1
10.11.24	Inter Milan - Napoli	1:1
17.03.24	Inter Milan - Napoli	1:1
Italian Super Cup
22.01.24	Napoli - Inter Milan	0:1
Italian Serie A
03.12.23	Napoli - Inter Milan	0:3

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