The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Inter Milan 58.1%
Draw 24.4%
Napoli 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
26.6%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
25.8%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.4%
9.1%
4.5%
Inter Milan - Napoli Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Inter (1.15) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
BTTS - yes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1 - Napoli (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Inter Milan will win
(38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 2 - 40%). Napoli (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez J. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 17. Diouf A. 23. Barella N. 7. Zielinski P. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 94. Esposito F. 10. Martinez L. (C)
1. Meret A. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 16. Marin R. 37. Spinazzola L. 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 26. Vergara A. 21. Politano M. 19. Hojlund R. 27. Alisson Santos
Substitutes
14. Bonny A. 20. Calhanoglu H. 30. Carlos Augusto 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 21. Jones C. 11. Luis Henrique 22. Mkhitaryan H. 28. Pavard B. 49. Provedel I. (G) 5. Stankovic A. 6. Stones J. 9. Thuram M.
5. Badiashile B. 31. Beukema S. 14. Contini N. (G) 7. David Neres 11. De Bruyne K. 2. Favasuli C. 6. Gilmour B. 70. Lang N. 20. Lucca L. 32. Milinkovic-Savic V. (G) 17. Olivera M.
Coaches
Chivu C.
Allegri M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Vergara A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Esposito F. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
46', Sucic P. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Politano M. ⚽,
53', 0 - 2, Hojlund R. ⚽, Di Lorenzo G. (A),
56', 1 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
62', Vergara A. ↓, De Bruyne K. ↑,
62', Politano M. ↓, David Neres ↑,
62', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
68', Martinez L. 🟨,
72', Hojlund R. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
72', Zielinski P. ↓, Calhanoglu H. ↑,
77', Marin R. 🟨,
79', Bastoni A. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
79', Lobotka S. ↓, Gilmour B. ↑,
80', Alisson Santos ↓, Badiashile B. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Thuram M. ⚽, Carlos Augusto (A),
90+1', 3 - 2, Martinez L. ⚽, Akanji M. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 0.
Inter is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Napoli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Napoli has had a series of home games.
In this match, Inter is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Napoli: Buongiorno A.
(Knee Injury)
Giovane
(Groin Injury)
Marianucci L.
(Knee Injury)
McTominay S.
(Heart Problems)
There are questionable in Inter: Spence D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Napoli: Badiashile B.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
We predict that Inter will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).