The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milan 26.6%
Draw 25.5%
Inter Milan 47.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.4%
25.7%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
25.4%
42.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan's form might have worsened.
Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Milan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Milan - Inter Milan Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Inter will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 3.
In recent outings, Milan has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Inter is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Inter is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Milan has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:30 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Milan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:16 goals (averaging 0.8:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Inter
9
8
1
0
25:10
15
25
5
AC Milan
9
5
3
1
18:11
7
18
Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
Inter: 53.37% AC Milan: 5.25%
Last Results with these Odds
Inter Milan - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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