Match Info

Serie A - Round 2

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cagliari		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.4	Watch
	7.75	4.50	1.42
	7.8	4.3	1.42	Watch
	9	4.85	1.45
	7.84	4.78	1.42	Watch
	8.55	4.8	1.4
	8	4.93	1.45
	7.6	5	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.01 ↑ (7.17)	4.74 ↑ (4.25)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
12%

Draw
20.3%

Inter Milan
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.4%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

21.7%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	8.3%	91.7%

Cagliari - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (44 of 48 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 99.49%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 2. Pedro J. 14. Deiola A. (C) 15. Rodriguez J. 33. Obert A. 4. Romano A. 6. Winks H. 8. Adopo M. 70. Maldini D. 10. Fazzini J. 31. Mendy P.	1. Martinez J. (G) 28. Pavard B. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 94. Esposito F.
Substitutes
30. Akarakiri A. 24. Aurelio G. 29. Borrelli G. 21. Cavuoti N. 20. Ciervo R. 39. Fadera A. 17. Felici M. 9. Kevin 22. Kofler R. 27. Liteta J. 23. Radunovic B. (G) 12. Sherri A. (G) 32. Sulev I.	31. Bisseck Y. 14. Bonny A. 30. Carlos Augusto 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 21. Jones C. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 49. Provedel I. (G) 5. Stankovic A. 6. Stones J. 9. Thuram M. 7. Zielinski P.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Calhanoglu H. ⚽, Barella N. (A),
14', Akanji M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Deiola A. 🟨,
57', Fazzini J. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
57', Winks H. ↓, Kofler R. ↑,
57', Mendy P. ↓, Kevin ↑,
65', Esposito F. ↓, Thuram M. ↑,
65', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
65', Sucic P. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
68', Akanji M. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
78', Maldini D. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
81', Luis Henrique ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
83', Deiola A. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
88', Kevin 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 0.

Cagliari is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inter is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Inter is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Cagliari: Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Trepy Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Spence D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 14:52. (average 0.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.8:2.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 45.02% Cagliari: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 64.3%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
22.08.26	Parma - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Cagliari - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.26	Cagliari - Nice	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Union Berlin - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
28.07.26	Cagliari - Modena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTTW
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
22.08.26	Inter Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Inter Milan - Betis	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Juventus - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Manchester City - Inter Milan	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
17.04.26	Inter Milan - Cagliari	3:0
27.09.25	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2
12.04.25	Inter Milan - Cagliari	3:1
28.12.24	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:3
14.04.24	Inter Milan - Cagliari	2:2
28.08.23	Cagliari - Inter Milan	0:2
15.05.22	Cagliari - Inter Milan	1:3

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