The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Inter Playa Del Carmen 21.2%
Draw 24.7%
Irapuato 54.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.1%
24.9%
53%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
24.5%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Playa Del Carmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Playa Del Carmen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Inter Playa Del Carmen - Irapuato Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 2, ⚽,
11', 1 - 2, ⚽,
16', 1 - 3, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 5, ⚽,
46', 1 - 6, ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Primera Premier Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Playa Del Carmen won 1.
Playa Del Carmen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Irapuato is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Recently, Irapuato has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Irapuato for this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Playa Del Carmen has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Playa Del Carmen against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).