Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO
Mexico	FOX Sports


	Inter Santa Tecla		Atlético Balboa

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.5	3.75	5.3
	1.5	3.85	5.5
	1.6	3.86	5.3	Watch
	1.47	3.4	4.65
	1.51	3.6	5.94
	1.51	3.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	3.72 ↓ (4)	5.23 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Santa Tecla
58.8%

Draw
24.1%

Atlético Balboa
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Santa Tecla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Atlético Balboa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Balboa than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Inter Santa Tecla - Atlético Balboa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', (Penalty Awarded),
39', 1 - 0, Vasquez Guillen L. E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 1 - 1, Landazuri V. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 8th).

Inter Santa Tecla has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Atlético Balboa has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Atlético Balboa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Inter Santa Tecla carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Inter Santa Tecla has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Inter Santa Tecla	14	5	7	2	19:12	7	22
10	Atletico Balboa	14	3	4	7	15:22	-7	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Santa Tecla
El Salvador Primera Division
19.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - CD FAS	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Cacahuatique - Inter Santa Tecla	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Inter Santa Tecla	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Inter Santa Tecla	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWLW
- Atlético Balboa
El Salvador Primera Division
20.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Atlético Balboa	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	INCA-Aruba - Atlético Balboa	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Alianza San Miguel - Atlético Balboa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
25.07.26	Atlético Balboa - Inter Santa Tecla	0:0

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