Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO


	Inter Santa Tecla		Isidro Metapán

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.00	2.85
	2.38	2.95	2.80
	2.36	3.10	3.10
	2.34	3.12	3.1	Watch
	2.30	3.00	3.05
	2.31	3.37	2.94
	2.25	3.00	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.7)	3.08 ↑ (2.95)	2.97 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Santa Tecla
39.5%

Draw
29.7%

Isidro Metapán
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

30.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

31.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Santa Tecla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Santa Tecla's performance.

Isidro Metapán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Isidro Metapán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Santa Tecla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Isidro Metapán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Inter Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsSemi~finals)).

Inter Santa Tecla is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Isidro Metapán have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Isidro Metapán could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Metapan	13	8	2	3	20:12	8	26
4	Inter Santa Tecla	14	5	7	2	19:12	7	22

Last Results with these Odds

Isidro Metapán - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.71%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Santa Tecla
El Salvador Primera Division
16.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - CD FAS	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Cacahuatique - Inter Santa Tecla	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Inter Santa Tecla	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Inter Santa Tecla	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	Inter Santa Tecla - INCA-Aruba	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLWW
- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
13.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Isidro Metapán - INCA-Aruba	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Municipal Limeño - Isidro Metapán	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW

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