The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luis Ángel Firpo 48%
Draw 26.2%
Isidro Metapán 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
28.4%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
28.6%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luis Ángel Firpo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luis Ángel Firpo's performance.
Isidro Metapán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Isidro Metapán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Ángel Firpo than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luis Ángel Firpo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Isidro Metapán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luis Ángel Firpo - Isidro Metapán Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Jacobo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 0 - 2, Haberkorn F. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Ortez D. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luis Ángel Firpo won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Isidro Metapán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Luis Ángel Firpo won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Luis Ángel Firpo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 0.9:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Metapan
13
8
2
3
20:12
8
26
2
Luis Angel Firpo
13
7
4
2
23:9
14
25
Last Results with these Odds
Luis Ángel Firpo - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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