Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: York Lions Stadium (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer


	Inter Toronto		Cavalry

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.00	1.57
	4.4	4.05	1.55
	4.31	4.14	1.62
	4.51	4.3	1.64	Watch
	4.2	4	1.58
	4.68	4.66	1.61	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↓ (5.5)	4.19 ↓ (4.24)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Toronto
20.7%

Draw
21.8%

Cavalry
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

22%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

21.4%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Toronto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Toronto than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavalry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Inter Toronto - Cavalry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Campos A. (G) 6. Lopez R. 5. Sturing F. (C) 3. Singh L. 16. Ferrari M. 23. Cordova J. 10. Bassett O. 8. Guzman C. 7. Yeates S. 9. Gonzales S. 11. Almagro A.	29. Ingham N. (G) 30. McGlinchey J. 4. Klomp D. (C) 55. Didic A. 5. Fewo 28. Myroniuk N. 24. Kobza E. 7. Musse A. 9. Warschewski T. 17. Edwards N. 35. Graham-Roache O.
Substitutes
13. Accettola L. 36. Clarke K. 28. Costa J. 21. Kibato K. 35. Onyeocha C. 12. Pavela I. (G) 45. Ramos E.	19. Antoniuk O. 11. Ayari H. 6. Baldisimo M. 18. Henry M. 21. Holliday J. (G) 3. Ofori C. 8. Paton H.
Coaches
Eustaquio M.	Wheeldon T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Toronto won 1.

Inter Toronto has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cavalry shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cavalry may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Cavalry is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Inter Toronto has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:34 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Inter Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 9:14 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cavalry ✔	25	16	5	4	51:19	32	53
7	Inter Toronto	25	6	9	10	40:56	-16	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Toronto FC
Canadian Premier League
27.09.26	Inter Toronto - Pacific FC	3:4 ✺
23.09.26	Vancouver FC - Inter Toronto	3:3 ✺
20.09.26	HFX Wanderers - Inter Toronto	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Inter Toronto - Vancouver FC	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Inter Toronto - Pacific FC	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLWT
- Cavalry FC
Canadian Premier League
30.09.26	Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry	3:2 ✺
25.09.26	Cavalry - Supra du Québec	6:0 ✺
19.09.26	Cavalry - Forge	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Pacific FC - Cavalry	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	HFX Wanderers - Cavalry	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
01.08.26	Cavalry - Inter Toronto	5:0
10.06.26	Inter Toronto - Cavalry	1:5
25.04.26	Cavalry - Inter Toronto	1:1
26.10.25	Cavalry - Inter Toronto	4:1
05.09.25	Inter Toronto - Cavalry	3:1
26.07.25	Cavalry - Inter Toronto	0:1
08.06.25	Cavalry - Inter Toronto	2:1

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