The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HFX Wanderers 25.7%
Draw 25%
Cavalry 49.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23.3%
23.4%
53.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
22.9%
54.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HFX Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavalry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HFX Wanderers - Cavalry Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carducci M. (G) 21. Alphonse J. 26. Meilleur-Gigeuere T. 25. MacKenzie L. 16. Sow K. 6. Callegari L. 5. Olguin L. 23. Arilla M. 8. Johnston I. (C) 7. Telfer R. 14. Bahamboula J.
29. Ingham N. (G) 16. Pearlman A. 4. Klomp D. (C) 55. Didic A. 5. Fewo 8. Paton H. 24. Kobza E. 7. Musse A. 14. Elva C. 17. Edwards N. 9. Warschewski T.
Substitutes
12. Astridge S. (G) 10. Bai Y. 20. Ciccarelli T. 27. Pierre N. 18. Rampersad A. 11. Reid A. 22. Zitman S.
19. Antoniuk O. 41. De Sousa C. (G) 35. Graham-Roache O. 18. Henry M. 28. Myroniuk N. 20. Ntignee G. 3. Ofori C.
Coaches
Sartini V.
Wheeldon T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Bahamboula J. ⚽, Arilla M. (A),
32', Klomp D. 🟨,
34', Kobza E. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Elva C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, Musse A. ⚽, Warschewski T. (A),
60', Olguin L. ↓, Zitman S. ↑,
69', MacKenzie L. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
71', Zitman S. 🟨,
72', Fewo 🟨,
75', Johnston I. ↓, Bai Y. ↑,
75', Arilla M. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
75', Alphonse J. ↓, Ciccarelli T. ↑,
75', Musse A. ↓, Ntignee G. ↑,
77', Paton H. 🟥,
79', Elva C. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
90', Edwards N. ↓, Ofori C. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Meilleur-Gigeuere T. ⚽, Telfer R. (A),
90+7', Callegari L. 🟨,
Preview
Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
HFX Wanderers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Cavalry for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HFX Wanderers has recorded 2 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:31 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HFX Wanderers against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 1.1:1.4 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Cavalry
28
18
6
4
58:23
35
60
7
HFX Wanderers
28
7
7
14
44:50
-6
28
Last Results with these Odds
Cavalry - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.33%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.