Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: York Lions Stadium (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2, SportsEngine Play


	Inter Toronto		Vancouver FC

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.30	2.30
	2.7	3.25	2.22
	2.96	3.62	2.2
	2.62	3.83	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.19
	2.94	3.47	2.26	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.19)	3.47 ↓ (3.78)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Toronto
33.1%

Draw
26.4%

Vancouver FC
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

24.7%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

23.3%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Toronto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Vancouver FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Toronto than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver FC than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Inter Toronto - Vancouver FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Campos A. (G) 3. Singh L. 5. Sturing F. 4. Leon O. (C) 8. Guzman C. 7. Yeates S. 13. Accettola L. 21. Kibato K. 10. Bassett O. 77. Skublak T. 11. Almagro A.	1. Irving C. (C) 3. Doner M. 5. Campagna M. 30. Field T. 23. Proctor K. 6. Pecile D. 21. Polisi M. 7. Bah E. 20. Mezquida N. 10. Amissi M. 9. Mousset L.
Substitutes
36. Clarke K. 23. Cordova J. 16. Ferrari M. 9. Gonzales S. 6. Lopez R. 35. Onyeocha C. 12. Pavela I. (G)	2. Gee P. 16. Lee B. 15. Ouattara A. 33. Regitnig H. (G) 8. Toomey L. 11. Traore A. 29. Vitor Lucas
Coaches
Eustaquio M.	Nash M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Skublak T. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Accettola L. ⚽, Yeates S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Proctor K. ↓, Gee P. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Skublak T. ⚽, Guzman C. (A),
56', 3 - 0, Irving C. (Own goal),
58', Bah E. 🟨,
59', Mezquida N. ↓, Toomey L. ↑,
62', Accettola L. ↓, Clarke K. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Bah E. ⚽, Toomey L. (A),
73', Kibato K. ↓, Cordova J. ↑,
77', Mousset L. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
77', Polisi M. ↓, Lee B. ↑,
78', Clarke K. 🟨,
83', Doner M. ↓, Vitor Lucas ↑,
83', Pecile D. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
84', Skublak T. ↓, Gonzales S. ↑,
84', Almagro A. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,
90', Bassett O. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Toronto won 3.

Inter Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vancouver FC has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Inter Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Inter Toronto won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter Toronto won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Vancouver FC	25	9	6	10	35:33	2	33
7	Inter Toronto	25	6	9	10	40:56	-16	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Toronto FC
Canadian Premier League
09.09.26	Inter Toronto - Pacific FC	3:3 ✺
05.09.26	Forge - Inter Toronto	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Atlético Ottawa - Inter Toronto	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Inter Toronto - Supra du Québec	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Inter Toronto - HFX Wanderers	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTLTW
- Vancouver FC
Canadian Premier League
06.09.26	Vancouver FC - Supra du Québec	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Cavalry - Vancouver FC	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	HFX Wanderers - Vancouver FC	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Ottawa - Vancouver FC	4:0 ✺
14.08.26	Vancouver FC - Pacific FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
04.07.26	Vancouver FC - Inter Toronto	4:0
19.04.26	Inter Toronto - Vancouver FC	1:0
21.09.25	Vancouver FC - Inter Toronto	2:1
19.07.25	Inter Toronto - Vancouver FC	4:0
25.05.25	Inter Toronto - Vancouver FC	1:0
06.04.25	Vancouver FC - Inter Toronto	0:2
06.09.24	Vancouver FC - Inter Toronto	0:1

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