Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: York Lions Stadium (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2


	Inter Toronto		Supra du Québec

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.50	2.00
	2.9	3.5	2
	2.95	3.75	2.1
	3.1	3.86	2.08	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.03
	3	3.56	2.02	Watch
	2.95	3.65	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.55)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	2.04 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Toronto
30.7%

Draw
24.9%

Supra du Québec
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25.2%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

24.8%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Toronto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Toronto's form might have worsened.

Supra du Québec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Supra du Québec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Toronto than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Supra du Québec than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Supra du Québec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Inter Toronto - Supra du Québec Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Inter Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Supra du Québec will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Supra du Québec (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Campos A. (G) 6. Lopez R. 5. Sturing F. 4. Leon O. (C) 16. Ferrari M. 23. Cordova J. 10. Bassett O. 8. Guzman C. 77. Skublak T. 9. Gonzales S. 11. Almagro A.	32. Milli J. (G) 15. Brault-Guillard Z. 2. Auguste C. 5. Ferdinand K. 11. Abzi D. 33. Sissoko A. (C) 6. Biello A. 8. El Kalkouli O. 10. Rea S. 9. Kwemi L. A. 99. Conde I.
Substitutes
13. Accettola L. 37. Andrada N. 39. Badibanga B. 36. Clarke K. 28. Costa J. 21. Kibato K. 12. Pavela I. (G)	49. Awonongbadje E. 12. Bayiha C. 80. Diop M. (G) 3. Lebeuf T. 19. McInerney J. 24. Mlah S. 92. Santos N.
Coaches
Eustaquio M.	Selaidopoulos K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', Rea S. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Skublak T. ⚽,
8', Ferdinand K. ↓, Awonongbadje E. ↑,
17', 1 - 1, Kwemi L. A. ⚽, Abzi D. (A),
26', Cordova J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 2, Kwemi L. A. ⚽,
45', Sturing F. ↓, Kibato K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzales S. ↓, Badibanga B. ↑,
57', Badibanga B. 🟨,
60', Abzi D. 🟨,
64', Rea S. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
65', El Kalkouli O. ↓, Bayiha C. ↑,
74', Conde I. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
83', Guzman C. 🟨,
90', Lopez R. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Supra du Québec may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Inter Toronto has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Inter Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Supra du Quebec	25	9	4	12	38:45	-7	31
7	Inter Toronto	25	6	9	10	40:56	-16	27

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Toronto - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Toronto FC
Canadian Premier League
03.10.26	Inter Toronto - Cavalry	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Inter Toronto - Pacific FC	3:4 ✺
23.09.26	Vancouver FC - Inter Toronto	3:3 ✺
20.09.26	HFX Wanderers - Inter Toronto	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Inter Toronto - Vancouver FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TLTLW
- Supra du Québec
Canadian Premier League
04.10.26	Supra du Québec - Pacific FC	5:0 ✺
25.09.26	Cavalry - Supra du Québec	6:0 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Ottawa - Supra du Québec	0:2 ✺
Canadian Championship
15.09.26	Forge - Supra du Québec	1:0 ✺
Canadian Premier League
12.09.26	Supra du Québec - HFX Wanderers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
23.08.26	Inter Toronto - Supra du Québec	1:1
29.05.26	Supra du Québec - Inter Toronto	3:1

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