Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Inter Turku II		KuPS Akatemia

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.2	3.3
	1.53	4.6	4
	1.78	4.15	3.25
	1.86	4.46	3.36
	1.61	5.29	3.64	Watch
	1.75	4	3.3
	1.81	4.4	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)	4.44 ↑ (4.07)	3.47 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Turku II
53.1%

Draw
20.6%

KuPS Akatemia
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

22.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

22.3%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Turku II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

KuPS Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku II than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Inter Turku II - KuPS Akatemia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Hoglund M. (G) 58. Ahmed A. 50. Hamalainen J. (C) 43. Huovila V. 53. Liljestrom E. 54. Mendolin R. 66. Otoo P. 38. Pozo A. 48. Salonen A. 59. Sandler A. 37. Suotunen M.	12. Aimola J. (G) 6. Balde O. 26. Baseme A. 14. Hautakangas P. 9. Huttunen D. 8. Kivijarvi J. (C) 24. Leivonen A. 23. Mattila N. 21. Oksanen N. 3. Tikkanen R. 31. Ward K.
Substitutes
42. Hajdini E. 47. Korsunov S. 46. Meltoranta N. 39. Nzoko E. 52. Rashica A. 57. Repo O. 62. Simola V. (G)	4. Hukkanen T. 30. Kantelinen S. 20. Karkkainen E. 11. Nguyen H. 7. Paasisalo L. 19. Prince Ume K. 1. Silen K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Ahmed A. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Hamalainen J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Huttunen D. ↓, Prince Ume K. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Salonen A. ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, Prince Ume K. ⚽,
59', Mattila N. 🟨,
62', Ahmed A. ↓, Meltoranta N. ↑,
64', Otoo P. 🟨,
69', Tikkanen R. 🟨,
71', Mendolin R. ↓, Hajdini E. ↑,
71', Otoo P. ↓, Repo O. ↑,
71', Salonen A. ↓, Nzoko E. ↑,
75', Baseme A. ↓, Paasisalo L. ↑,
75', Mattila N. ↓, Nguyen H. ↑,
75', Hautakangas P. ↓, Karkkainen E. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Balde O. ⚽,
86', Huovila V. ↓, Korsunov S. ↑,
89', 4 - 2, Hajdini E. ⚽,
90+2', Leivonen A. ↓, Kantelinen S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Inter Turku II has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, KuPS Akatemia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

KuPS Akatemia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter Turku II is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Inter Turku II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Turku II
Finnish Ykkonen
09.05.26	VJS Vantaa - Inter Turku II	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Inter Turku II - Tampere United	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Salon Palloilijat - Inter Turku II	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Inter Turku II - OLS	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	RoPS - Inter Turku II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWTL
- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	KuPS Akatemia - Honka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
09.05.26	KuPS Akatemia - Jazz Pori	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	VJS Vantaa - KuPS Akatemia	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Huima Urho - KuPS Akatemia	0:4 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
24.04.26	KuPS Akatemia - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
10.08.25	KuPS Akatemia - Inter Turku II	3:1
03.06.25	Inter Turku II - KuPS Akatemia	6:1

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