Match Info

Suomen Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	KuPS Akatemia		Honka

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.75	2.05
	2.67	3.69	2.01
	25.00	6.13	1.12	Watch
	2.75	3.5	2.1
	2.79	3.78	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.2 ↑ (3.86)	4.17 ↑ (4)	1.87 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Akatemia
15.2%

Draw
26.3%

Honka
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

22.7%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

22.6%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KuPS Akatemia's form might have worsened.

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Akatemia than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KuPS Akatemia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

KuPS Akatemia - Honka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Honka will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kauppinen K. (G) 6. Balde O. 14. Hautakangas P. 4. Hukkanen T. 30. Kantelinen S. 23. Mattila N. (C) 11. Nguyen H. 21. Oksanen N. 7. Paasisalo L. 5. Tahkola R. 13. Tuomainen P.	1. Helin A. (G) 17. Ahokas B. 3. Aijala E. 20. Al Wehliye K. 11. Heikkinen B. 22. Jannes A. 18. Karppinen V. 21. Koistinen V. 29. Paraiso A. 25. Ritala A. 28. Umeh C.
Substitutes
12. Aimola J. (G) 26. Baseme A. 9. Huttunen D. 18. Lahtela V. 24. Leivonen A. 10. Mutlu V.	24. Katajamaki P. 7. Langhoff C. 6. Pyyskanen R. 4. Ramstrom A. 5. Tukia O. 50. Vuolteenaho T. 8. Woivalin H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Al Wehliye K. ↓, Katajamaki P. ↑,
46', Nguyen H. ↓, Huttunen D. ↑,
48', Mattila N. 🟨,
49', Balde O. 🟨,
61', Kantelinen S. ↓, Leivonen A. ↑,
61', Paasisalo L. ↓, Baseme A. ↑,
69', Umeh C. ↓, Woivalin H. ↑,
69', Ahokas B. ↓, Pyyskanen R. ↑,
69', Heikkinen B. ↓, Tukia O. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Katajamaki P. ⚽,
74', Tahkola R. ↓, Mutlu V. ↑,
77', Aijala E. ↓, Ramstrom A. ↑,
87', Tuomainen P. ↓, Lahtela V. ↑,

Preview

KuPS Akatemia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Honka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Honka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Akatemia
Finnish Ykkonen
09.05.26	KuPS Akatemia - Jazz Pori	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	VJS Vantaa - KuPS Akatemia	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Huima Urho - KuPS Akatemia	0:4 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
24.04.26	KuPS Akatemia - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tampere United - KuPS Akatemia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWWL
- FC Honka
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
08.05.26	Honka - Ilves 2	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	HJS - Honka	0:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Atlantis Helsinki - Honka	3:4 penalties ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
24.04.26	MuSa - Honka	0:6 ✺
18.04.26	Honka - Åbo IFK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWWT

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