Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Intercity		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.9	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.72	3.4	4.3
	1.85	3.2	3.85
	1.88	3.34	4.38
	1.86	3.2	4.1
	1.87	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.22)	3.21 ↑ (2.88)	4.13 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
49.6%

Draw
28.3%

Calahorra
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Intercity's performance.

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Intercity that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+4%)

Intercity - Calahorra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Intercity is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Calahorra has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Intercity could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Intercity have a series of home games.

In this match Intercity is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.01.23	Intercity - Eldense	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.23	Intercity - Barcelona	3:4 ET ✺
20.12.22	Intercity - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.12.22	Amorebieta - Intercity	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Intercity - Alcoyano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWLW
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.01.23	Calahorra - Cornellà	2:3 ✺
18.12.22	Eldense - Calahorra	4:0 ✺
11.12.22	Calahorra - Castellón	1:1 ✺
07.12.22	Amorebieta - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Calahorra - La Nucía	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL

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