Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)


	Amorebieta		Calahorra

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.95	3.05	4
	2	3.2	3.4
	2.07	3.24	3.67
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.36	3.54
	2.01	3.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.21)	3.18 ↑ (2.9)	3.57 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
45.9%

Draw
28.6%

Calahorra
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

31.4%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Calahorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Amorebieta - Calahorra Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amorebieta: 77.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Amorebieta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.12.22	Amorebieta - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	UD Logroñés - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Amorebieta - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Atlético Saguntino - Amorebieta	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	Cornellà - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTWLW
- CD Calahorra
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.12.22	Calahorra - La Nucía	1:3 ✺
26.11.22	Alcoyano - Calahorra	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Calahorra - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	UD Logroñés - Calahorra	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Calahorra - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.21	Calahorra - Amorebieta	1:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.05.21	Calahorra - Amorebieta	0:0
17.04.21	Amorebieta - Calahorra	0:0
04.01.20	Amorebieta - Calahorra	1:0
12.01.19	Amorebieta - Calahorra	0:0
26.08.18	Calahorra - Amorebieta	2:0

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