The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Intercity 28.2%
Draw 28.3%
Hércules 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
27.1%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
24.1%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Intercity's performance.
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hércules might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Intercity - Hércules Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 4. Hernandez A. 15. Perez A. (C) 20. Codina M. 26. Ron K. 5. Llonch P. 22. Montero Sergio 6. Gracia J. 10. Martinez B. 8. Nsue E.
1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 15. Vazquez S. 20. Sotillos A. 4. Montoro A. 21. Retu 11. Moreno Sanchez J. 6. Colomina R. 8. Artiles J. 18. Soldevila O. 10. Espinosa N. (C) 9. Coscia A.
Substitutes
17. Caballo D. 3. Diallo M. 1. Freixanet P. (G) 9. Locadia J. 19. Mestanza A. 14. Modeste A. 29. Paredes A. 11. Stor L. . Zaragoza
13. Almodovar N. (G) 7. Alvarito 22. Aranda A. 24. Arumi J. 29. Bojang A. 3. del Moral A. 28. Galvan J. 14. Garcia M. 5. Gomez Meneses J. M. 19. Mangada C. 23. Romera D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Llonch P. 🟨,
18', Perez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Artiles J. 🟨,
58', Hernandez A. 🟨,
62', Montero Sergio ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
62', Ron K. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
66', Artiles J. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
67', Coscia A. 🟨,
74', Montoro A. 🟨,
74', Llonch P. ↓, Locadia J. ↑,
74', Codina M. ↓, Caballo D. ↑,
77', Colomina R. ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
77', Moreno Sanchez J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
83', 🟨,
83', 1 - 0, Perez A. ⚽,
86', Vazquez S. ↓, Alvarito ↑,
88', Aranda A. 🟨,
90+1', Martinez B. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Intercity is Relegated to
Intercity has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Hércules has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Hércules might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Intercity won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Intercity won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.