Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Collao (Alcoy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Alcoyano		Intercity

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	7.5
	1.42	4	6.25
	1.4	4.4	7.2
	1.39	5	7
	1.36	4.63	7.21	Watch
	1.36	4.4	8.3
	1.4	4.4	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.42)	4.42 ↑ (3.9)	7.24 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
66.5%

Draw
20.8%

Intercity
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

23.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

14.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcoyano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Intercity could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcoyano - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Valens J. (G) 3. Rodriguez A. 18. Atienza P. 2. Ferriz P. 4. Farru 23. Pastrana V. 6. Garcia I. 20. Undabarrena E. 8. Molina D. 7. Herrera C. 19. Losada M.	1. Freixanet P. (G) 22. Montero Sergio 4. Hernandez A. 15. Perez A. 20. Codina M. 9. Locadia J. 18. Burlamaqui A. 6. Gracia J. 5. Llonch P. 10. Martinez B. 26. Ron K.
Substitutes
5. Albisua H. 15. Blanco C. 9. de Palmas R. 25. Ferrer M. (G) 1. Garcia M. (G) 10. Lara J. A. 17. Lopez S. 24. Qasmi Y. 22. Velazquez D.	13. Casado S. (G) 3. Diallo M. 23. Gonzalez N. 19. Mestanza A. 14. Modeste A. 11. Stor L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Hernandez A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Montero Sergio ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Losada M. ⚽,
57', Martinez B. 🟨,
58', Montero Sergio ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
58', Locadia J. ↓, Modeste A. ↑,
65', Herrera C. ↓, de Palmas R. ↑,
72', Martinez B. ↓, Stor L. ↑,
72', Ron K. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Undabarrena E. ⚽,
79', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Intercity is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcoyano won 2.

Alcoyano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Intercity has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Intercity may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcoyano is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alcoyano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alcoyano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.05.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcoyano	0:3 ✺
26.04.25	Alcoyano - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Atlético Madrid B - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Alcoyano - Fuenlabrada	2:4 ✺
06.04.25	Ceuta - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLLL
- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.05.25	Intercity - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Intercity	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Villarreal B - Intercity	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Intercity - Antequera	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Atlético Madrid B - Intercity	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.09.24	Intercity - Alcoyano	0:2
25.05.24	Alcoyano - Intercity	1:0
03.09.23	Intercity - Alcoyano	1:0
05.03.23	Alcoyano - Intercity	1:1
11.12.22	Intercity - Alcoyano	4:1
Club Friendly
11.08.21	Alcoyano - Intercity	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
18.07.20	Alcoyano - Intercity	0:0

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