Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 1

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho (Limeira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Internacional de Limeira		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	2.87	3.10
	2.38	2.82	2.9	Watch
	2.53	2.91	3.05
	2.3	2.91	3.44	Watch
	2.5	2.75	3
	2.34	3.02	3.23
	2.38	2.85	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.12)	2.88 ↓ (3.05)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Limeira
38.5%

Draw
31.8%

Ferroviária
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.5%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

31%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional de Limeira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Inter de Limeira will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Emerson Junior (G) 20. Fabricio Dias 44. Fagner Alemao 99. Getulio 29. Heitor Roca 25. Lucas Buchecha 4. Lucas Santos 9. Miguel Bianconi (C) 35. Romarinho 19. Vitor Leque 2. Yan Silva	31. Denis Junior (G) 10. Albano 8. Alencar 29. Eduardo Oliveira 7. Fau 22. Felipe Rodrigues 13. Gustavo Medina 18. Rafael Carillho 19. Thiago M. 11. Vitor Barreto 40. Ze Vitor (C)
Substitutes
10. Claudinho 31. Emerson Santos 8. Felipe Saraiva 21. Gabriel Dias 27. Gabriel Santiago 11. Gustavo Bochecha 6. Joao Victor 34. Leo Paraiso 26. Marco Antonio 24. Renan Braganca (G) 16. Robinho 5. Ronaldo Henrique	21. Alan Stence 44. Carlao 38. Douglas Skilo 34. Gustavo Jundi (G) 27. Igor Henrique 77. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 99. Maranhao 30. Raoni 6. Rhuan 5. Ricardinho 23. Schilling Arthur
Coaches
Matheus Costa	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 🟨,
24', Miguel Bianconi 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Miguel Bianconi (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 1, Vitor Barreto ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', Getulio 🟨,
50', Felipe Rodrigues ↓, Lucas Rodrigues ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Alencar ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Miguel Bianconi ⚽,
61', Vitor Leque 🟨,
63', Romarinho ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
63', Lucas Buchecha ↓, Gabriel Dias ↑,
63', Vitor Leque ↓, Felipe Saraiva ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Getulio ⚽,
74', Miguel Bianconi ↓, Ronaldo Henrique ↑,
75', Alencar ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
75', Thiago M. ↓, Maranhao ↑,
83', Getulio ↓, Leo Paraiso ↑,
84', Igor Henrique 🟨,
85', Rafael Carillho ↓, Alan Stence ↑,
90+8', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter de Limeira won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Inter de Limeira will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Inter de Limeira won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter de Limeira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Ferroviaria: 23.95%

Last Results with these Odds

Internacional de Limeira - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ferroviária - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.1%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Serie C
29.08.26	Caxias - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Internacional de Limeira - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Brusque - Internacional de Limeira	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Internacional de Limeira - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Guarani - Internacional de Limeira	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLWL
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
29.08.26	Ferroviária - Confiança	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
17.08.26	Ferroviária - Paysandu	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Figueirense - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Ferroviária - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
21.06.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.01.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:1
Brazilian Serie D
08.07.23	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	1:0
20.05.23	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	1:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	0:0
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.22	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	0:1
14.05.22	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	1:1

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