Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 16

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Figueirense		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.87	2.70
	2.38	3.00	3.05	Watch
	2.60	3.02	2.93
	2.25	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.50	2.85	2.90
	2.39	3.02	3.12
	2.38	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.33)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
38%

Draw
31.3%

Ferroviária
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

30.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Figueirense - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabricio Santana (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 8. Breno 10. Dudu 9. Emerson Galego 7. Igor Bolt 3. Leonan Santos 4. Lucas Dias 11. Mailson 5. Renan Areias 2. Vitor Ricardo	31. Denis Junior (G) 10. Albano 8. Alencar 29. Eduardo Oliveira 7. Fau 22. Felipe Rodrigues 13. Gustavo Medina 5. Ricardinho (C) 19. Thiago M. 11. Vitor Barreto 40. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
12. Anderson Conceicao 13. Arthur Martins 18. Flavio 23. Guilherme Vieira 22. Hyuri 15. Jhonnathan 19. Joao Marcos 20. Jose Carlos 17. Junior (G) 14. Leo Maia 16. Renz L. 21. Silvinho	21. Alan Stence 14. Carlao 38. Douglas Skilo 15. Fernandinho 34. Gustavo Jundi (G) 77. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 33. Pedro Estevam 18. Rafael Carillho 6. Rhuan 23. Schilling Arthur
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Fau ⚽,
36', Alencar 🟨,
40', Ricardinho 🟨,
40', Igor Bolt 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Alencar 🟨,
52', Fau ↓, Rafael Carillho ↑,
56', Renan Areias ↓, Silvinho ↑,
71', Vitor Ricardo ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
72', Thiago M. ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
73', Vitor Barreto ↓, Juninho ↑,
73', Albano ↓, Lucas Rodrigues ↑,
75', Eduardo Oliveira 🟨,
79', 0 - 2, Douglas Skilo ⚽,
80', Breno ↓, Hyuri ↑,
80', Dudu ↓, Renz L. ↑,
80', Arthur Henrique ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
89', Leonan Santos 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Leo Maia ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Emerson Galego ⚽,
90+6', Carlos E. ↓, Carlao ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Figueirense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Figueirense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Figueirense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Ferroviaria: 23.95%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
25.07.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
13.07.26	Figueirense - Volta Redonda	0:0 ✺
06.07.26	Brusque - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	Figueirense - Guarani	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Ituano - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTLTT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
25.07.26	Ferroviária - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Ferroviária - Caxias	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Itabaiana - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
26.05.24	Figueirense - Ferroviária	0:1

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