Match Info

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis (Athens)

Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)


	Ionikos Nikaias		Panetolikos

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.3
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.23	3.1	3.15
	2.31	3.21	3.33
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.2	3.28	3.32	Watch
	2.26	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.34)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	3.26 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ionikos Nikaias
41.8%

Draw
29.5%

Panetolikos
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

28.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ionikos Nikaias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	23.8%	23.8%

Ionikos Nikaias - Panetolikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ionikos will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Panetolikos will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ionikos: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).

Ionikos has the most likely position - 14 (18.78%), has project points - 32, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Panetolikos has the most likely position - 6 (18.32%), has project points - 42, has currently - 11, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 26, small importance 22, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Ionikos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ionikos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ionikos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ionikos Nikaias
Greek Super League
23.10.22	Ionikos Nikaias - PAS Giannina	2:2 ✺
Greek Cup
18.10.22	Volos - Ionikos Nikaias	4:0 ✺
Greek Super League
15.10.22	Aris - Ionikos Nikaias	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Lamia	1:1 ✺
03.10.22	AEK Athens - Ionikos Nikaias	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLLTL
- Panetolikos
Greek Super League
22.10.22	Panetolikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
Greek Cup
19.10.22	Kalamata - Panetolikos	3:2 penalties ✺
Greek Super League
16.10.22	Asteras Tripolis - Panetolikos	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Panetolikos - Volos	2:3 ✺
03.10.22	PAS Giannina - Panetolikos	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
15.05.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Panetolikos	3:1
06.03.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Panetolikos	1:2
11.12.21	Panetolikos - Ionikos Nikaias	2:2

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