Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday

Location: Agia Sophia Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	AEK Athens		Ionikos Nikaias

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	15
	1.23	6	12.5
	1.2	5.75	12
	1.2	5.6	13
	1.21	6.22	15.13
	1.18	5.25	15
	1.22	6.05	13.25	Watch
	1.21	5.8	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.14)	5.83 ↓ (7.06)	13.61 ↓ (16.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
77.2%

Draw
16%

Ionikos Nikaias
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.3%

13.2%

5.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ionikos Nikaias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.8%	7%	30.2%

AEK Athens - Ionikos Nikaias Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 27 - 62.8%). Ionikos will win (votes: 13 - 30.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 48.4% – 77.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).

AEK has the most likely position - 3 (22.7%), has project points - 60, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (29%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Ionikos has the most likely position - 14 (12.94%), has project points - 36, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 32, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches AEK is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ionikos has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match AEK is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches AEK won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams AEK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens
Greek Super League
17.09.22	Panetolikos - AEK Athens	0:2 ✺
11.09.22	Panathinaikos - AEK Athens	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	AEK Athens - PAS Giannina	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	AEK Athens - Volos	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Lamia - AEK Athens	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW
- Ionikos Nikaias
Greek Super League
18.09.22	Volos - Ionikos Nikaias	2:0 ✺
10.09.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Atromitos Athens	1:4 ✺
03.09.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Ionikos Nikaias	3:1 ✺
26.08.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Levadiakos	0:0 ✺
21.08.22	Panathinaikos - Ionikos Nikaias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
16.12.21	Ionikos Nikaias - AEK Athens	0:1
12.09.21	AEK Athens - Ionikos Nikaias	3:0

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