Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: AGL Arena (Felixstowe)


	Ipswich Town		Birmingham City LFC

	1	X	2
	9.8	5.5	1.21
	9.3	5.77	1.24
	8.34	5.74	1.27	Watch
	12.5	5.3	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.99 ↑ (5.87)	5.58 ↑ (4)	1.23 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
9.2%

Draw
16.4%

Birmingham City LFC
74.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

22.6%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

22.1%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ipswich Town's form might have worsened.

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City LFC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City LFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ipswich Town - Birmingham City LFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Negri N. (G) 2. Boswell M. 9. Dean R. 29. Dear J. 11. Guyatt S. 3. Hughes S. 6. Mitchell L. 12. Neville G. 24. Peake P. 8. Robertson K. 20. Wearing M.	24. Franch A. (G) 19. Cornet C. 16. Crosthwaite L. 2. Harris M. 10. Harrison-Murray C. 30. Herron N. 15. Holloway R. 22. Hurtre O. 91. Ji So-Yun 18. McKenna R. 17. Quinn Lu.
Substitutes
30. Bonwick K. 4. Fleming C. 31. Hartley L. (G) 14. Seaby R. 7. Thomas N.	32. Baker A. 23. Bance L. 6. Cooke S. 29. Louis B. 37. Mannu R. 11. McGowan T. 4. Newell L. 27. Sarri V. 1. Thomas L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Cornet C. ⚽, Quinn Lu. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 2, Hurtre O. ⚽, Crosthwaite L. (A),
59', Guyatt S. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
59', Hurtre O. ↓, Sarri V. ↑,
59', Quinn Lu. ↓, Louis B. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Louis B. ⚽,
73', Robertson K. ↓, Fleming C. ↑,
73', Hughes S. ↓, Bonwick K. ↑,
73', Boswell M. ↓, Seaby R. ↑,
82', Harrison-Murray C. ↓, Bance L. ↑,
86', Crosthwaite L. ↓, Baker A. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 4, Harris M. ⚽, Sarri V. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL).

Ipswich has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Birmingham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ipswich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town Women
English WSL 2
05.10.25	Sheffield United - Ipswich Town	3:2 ✺
28.09.25	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Charlton Athletic - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Southampton - Ipswich Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWTLL
- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
05.10.25	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Sheffield United - Birmingham City LFC	1:2 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City	3:2 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
21.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Newcastle United	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sunderland - Birmingham City LFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWT

Ipswich Town - Birmingham City LFC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide