Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)


	Birmingham City LFC		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.85	5.9
	1.37	5.41	5.78
	1.41	4.71	6.28	Watch
	1.41	4.7	5.67
	1.54	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.52)	4.71 ↑ (3.9)	5.77 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City LFC
64.6%

Draw
19.5%

Southampton
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

23.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Birmingham City LFC - Southampton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thomas L. (G) 6. Cooke S. 19. Cornet C. (C) 16. Crosthwaite L. 30. Herron N. 15. Holloway R. 91. Ji So-Yun 37. Mannu R. 18. McKenna R. 17. Quinn Lu. 27. Sarri V.	22. Stenson F. (G) 14. Bashford M. 6. Bourne T. 7. Brazil E. 23. Collett M. 15. Hack E. 10. McAlonie M. 3. Mott M. 8. Peplow C. 20. Primus A. (C) 19. Simpson J.
Substitutes
32. Baker A. 23. Bance L. 24. Franch A. (G) 2. Harris M. 10. Harrison-Murray C. 22. Hurtre O. 29. Louis B. 11. McGowan T. 4. Newell L.	4. Akpan A. 11. Ferguson A. 5. Goddard A. 30. Pettit E. 35. Roberts E. 49. Udebhulu N. 27. Watts I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Primus A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mannu R. ↓, Harrison-Murray C. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Peplow C. ⚽,
63', Holloway R. 🟨,
64', Collett M. ↓, Watts I. ↑,
66', Crosthwaite L. ↓, Baker A. ↑,
66', Quinn Lu. ↓, Louis B. ↑,
68', Bashford M. 🟨,
79', Peplow C. ↓, Akpan A. ↑,
79', Primus A. ↓, Goddard A. ↑,
79', Herron N. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
79', Sarri V. ↓, Hurtre O. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Ji So-Yun ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4.

Birmingham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City LFC
English WSL 2
27.09.25	Sheffield United - Birmingham City LFC	1:2 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City	3:2 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
21.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Newcastle United	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sunderland - Birmingham City LFC	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTW
- Southampton WFC
English WSL 2
28.09.25	Southampton - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Southampton - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Crystal Palace - Southampton	4:4 ✺
06.09.25	Southampton - Ipswich Town	4:0 ✺
04.05.25	Southampton - Charlton Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
16.03.25	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	2:1
20.10.24	Southampton - Birmingham City LFC	0:2
18.02.24	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	1:2
01.10.23	Southampton - Birmingham City LFC	1:3
02.04.23	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	2:1
17.10.22	Southampton - Birmingham City LFC	1:0
English FA Cup Women
16.05.21	Birmingham City LFC - Southampton	3:2

Birmingham City LFC - Southampton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide