The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ipswich Town 40.4%
Draw 27%
Durham 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
27.2%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
26.2%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.
Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Durham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ipswich Town - Durham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Negri N. (G) 2. Boswell M. (C) 24. Paige P. 20. Wearing M. 22. Roe B. 26. Meena M. 21. Cavanagh C. 32. Baker A. 16. Graham K. 25. Ashworth-Clifford L. 99. Ademiluyi P.
35. Sheppard C. (G) 2. Ayre G. 5. Wilson S. (C) 16. Ede G. 10. Blake H. 7. Hepple B. 15. Bradley D. 20. Foster M. 8. Lambert M. 17. Speckmaier M. 9. Watson L.
Substitutes
9. Dean R. 31. Hartley L. (G) 3. Hughes S. 15. Las N. 6. Mitchell L. 10. O'Brien L. 17. Peskett S. 7. Thomas N. 23. Weir K.
47. Agg L. 3. Briggs L. 48. Collinson G. 27. Jones A. 13. King A. (G) 25. McFarland L. 6. Robson S. 21. Stobbs A. 4. Toland T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ademiluyi P. ⚽, Baker A. (A),
26', Ademiluyi P. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Ashworth-Clifford L. ⚽, Baker A. (A),
42', Bradley D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Blake H. ↓, Toland T. ↑,
46', Speckmaier M. ↓, Briggs L. ↑,
52', Cavanagh C. 🟨,
58', Ede G. ↓, Collinson G. ↑,
67', Lambert M. ↓, Agg L. ↑,
70', Ademiluyi P. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
70', Graham K. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Toland T. ⚽, Collinson G. (A),
73', Ayre G. ↓, McFarland L. ↑,
77', Baker A. 🟨,
77', Baker A. ↓, Peskett S. ↑,
82', Meena M. ↓, Mitchell L. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Recent performances by Ipswich have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Durham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Ipswich will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ipswich won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.