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Current Win Probability
Durham 16.2%
Draw 18.9%
Birmingham City LFC 64.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
14.1%
18.4%
67.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
12.7%
46.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Birmingham City LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City LFC than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City LFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Durham - Birmingham City LFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Sheppard C. (G) 2. Ayre G. 5. Wilson S. 15. Bradley D. 3. Briggs L. 24. Morran E. 7. Hepple B. 10. Ede G. 9. Watson L. 23. Lowe R. 22. Collinson G.
1. Thomas L. (G) 3. Levasseur M. 2. Harris M. 15. Holloway R. 30. Herron N. 19. Cornet C. (C) 14. Amano S. 10. Leidhammar W. 7. Lee Geum-Min 4. Rastocle J. 27. Sarri V.
Substitutes
18. Addison A. 25. Brown E. 19. Hutchison B. 13. King A. (G) 4. McComasky M. 12. Noble L. 11. Pennock J. 21. Stobbs A.
6. Cooke S. 16. Crosthwaite L. 22. Hurtre O. . Jaynes L. 18. McKenna R. . Molendo-Payne R. 8. Naalsund L. 40. Startup K. (G) . Weaver M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Sarri V. ⚽, Leidhammar W. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Leidhammar W. ⚽, Levasseur M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Hepple B. ↓, Stobbs A. ↑,
46', Wilson S. ↓, McComasky M. ↑,
46', Herron N. ↓, Cooke S. ↑,
46', Lee Geum-Min ↓, Jaynes L. ↑,
46', Levasseur M. ↓, Crosthwaite L. ↑,
58', Collinson G. 🟨,
61', Watson L. ↓, Pennock J. ↑,
61', Lowe R. ↓, Addison A. ↑,
68', Amano S. ↓, Naalsund L. ↑,
71', Ede G. ↓, Noble L. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Cornet C. ⚽, Sarri V. (A),
80', 0 - 4, Crosthwaite L. ⚽,
85', Leidhammar W. ↓, Weaver M. ↑,
90', 0 - 5, Sarri V. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durham won 2.
Durham is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Birmingham has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Durham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Birmingham as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Durham has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:14 (averaging 0.7:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Durham against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).
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Sheppard C. (G) 
Ayre G. 
Bradley D. 
Morran E. 
Lowe R. 
Levasseur M. 
Holloway R. 
Amano S. 
Leidhammar W. 
Lee Geum-Min 
Rastocle J. 
Sarri V. 
Jaynes L. 
Naalsund L. 
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