Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Irkutsk		KDV Tomsk

	1	X	2
	2.73	3.21	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.2)	3.21 ↓ (3.59)	2.93 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irkutsk
35.9%

Draw
30.6%

KDV Tomsk
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

29.1%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irkutsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irkutsk's form might have worsened.

KDV Tomsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KDV Tomsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irkutsk than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irkutsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KDV Tomsk than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KDV Tomsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Irkutsk - KDV Tomsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Yakovlev I. ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, Belyaev E. ⚽,
84', 3 - 0, Mashnev M. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Irkutsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KDV is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

KDV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, KDV has had a series of home games.

Irkutsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irkutsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
07.09.25	Dynamo Vologda - Irkutsk	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Irkutsk - Chertanovo	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.25	Irkutsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
17.08.25	Cherepovets - Irkutsk	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Irkutsk - Spartak 2 Moscow	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLW
- KDV Tomsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
07.09.25	KDV Tomsk - Akron Tolyatti 2	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	KDV Tomsk - Orenburg-2	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Chelyabinsk 2 - KDV Tomsk	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	KDV Tomsk - Dynamo Vladivostok	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
17.08.25	KDV Tomsk - Dynamo Barnaul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWW

Irkutsk - KDV Tomsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide