Match Info

Date: 9 September 2020, Wednesday


	Irtysh Omsk		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.85	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.72
	4.2	3.35	1.7
	4.5	3.5	1.71
	4.77	3.78	1.72
	4.4	3.5	1.73
	4.45	3.68	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.09)	3.53 ↑ (3)	1.74 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
21%

Draw
26.1%

Alania Vladikavkaz
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.3%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

22.3%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irtysh Omsk's form might have worsened.

Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alania Vladikavkaz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	4%	80%

Irtysh Omsk - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Irtysh will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Alania will win (votes: 20 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alania: 64.3% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Irtysh has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alania is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Alania will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL
05.09.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:0 ✺
30.08.20	Dynamo Bryansk - Irtysh Omsk	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Krylya Sovetov - Irtysh Omsk	5:0 ✺
Russian FNL
22.08.20	Irtysh Omsk - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:5 ✺
16.08.20	Tom Tomsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
05.09.20	Tom Tomsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:1 ✺
30.08.20	Chertanovo - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Orenburg - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL
22.08.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
16.08.20	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLTL

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