Match Info

Date: 30 August 2020, Sunday


	Chertanovo		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.15	3.35	2.75
	2.41	3.3	2.7
	2.48	3.44	2.68
	2.45	3.3	2.62
	2.49	3.42	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.03)	3.33 ↓ (3.44)	2.71 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertanovo
38.4%

Draw
27.6%

Alania Vladikavkaz
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

27.5%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

21.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertanovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chertanovo's form might have worsened.

Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alania Vladikavkaz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertanovo than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chertanovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alania Vladikavkaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	16.7%	45.8%

Chertanovo - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Chertanovo will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Alania will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alania: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Chertanovo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alania is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Alania have a series of guest games.

Chertanovo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chertanovo
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Akron Tolyatti - Chertanovo	0:1 ✺
Russian FNL
22.08.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Chertanovo	3:0 ✺
16.08.20	Chertanovo - Dynamo Bryansk	0:1 ✺
12.08.20	Irtysh Omsk - Chertanovo	1:2 ✺
08.08.20	Chertanovo - Tom Tomsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLWW
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Orenburg - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL
22.08.20	Nizhny Novgorod - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
16.08.20	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:2 ✺
12.08.20	Orenburg - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:0 ✺
08.08.20	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTLLW

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