Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Orenburg		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.8
	1.83	3.83	4.2
	1.75	3.8	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.95)	3.68 ↑ (3.43)	4.15 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
52.2%

Draw
25.4%

Alania Vladikavkaz
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

26.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Orenburg - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alania could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Orenburg is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Russian FNL
17.04.22	Spartak 2 Moscow - Orenburg	2:3 ✺
10.04.22	Orenburg - Kuban Krasnodar	1:3 ✺
06.04.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Orenburg	1:2 ✺
02.04.22	Orenburg - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
26.03.22	Krasnodar 2 - Orenburg	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian Cup
20.04.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Zenit	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
16.04.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tom Tomsk	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	Fakel - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
06.04.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:3 ✺
02.04.22	Metallurg Lipetsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
09.10.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Orenburg	1:0
Club Friendly
06.02.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Orenburg	0:0
Russian FNL
21.11.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Orenburg	2:1
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Orenburg - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1
Russian FNL
12.08.20	Orenburg - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:0

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