Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 8

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Red Star Stadium (Omsk)


	Irtysh Omsk		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	2.36	3.26	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
39.2%

Draw
28.4%

Kaluga
32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Irtysh Omsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Kaluga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Irtysh Omsk - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Savin A. (G) 89. Dorofeev N. 7. Geryugov A. 18. Krylov I. 8. Maleev A. 44. Sadykov B. 11. Smirnov A. 19. Ustinov V. 81. Yangaev A. 10. Yanushkovskiy R. 15. Zhustyev M.	1. Shakerov R. (G) 14. Chibisov S. 10. Grishchenko I. 18. Ivanushkin L. 47. Kravtsov Z. 2. Krotov S. 91. Lukinykh E. 17. Matyushenko I. 4. Polev A. 32. Sokolov I. 8. Yugaldin D.
Substitutes
27. Bavin Y. 9. Bilalov B. 5. Dzhikiya A. 35. Medvedev D. (G) 60. Poletaev V. (G) 30. Razdymakha P. 6. Saraev K. 17. Shleermakher A. 24. Shokhin K. 25. Solovyov A. 97. Tarasov Y. 23. Zhustjev N.	7. Akimov E. 77. Balashov K. 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 19. Kuzin N. Y. 6. Kuzmin A. 12. Lipaev E. 3. Osadchiy I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Polev A. ⚽,
29', Dorofeev N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dorofeev N. ↓, Bilalov B. ↑,
46', Grishchenko I. ↓, Osadchiy I. ↑,
46', Krotov S. ↓, Kuzmin A. ↑,
67', Maleev A. ↓, Bavin Y. ↑,
67', Sadykov B. ↓, Saraev K. ↑,
67', Yanushkovskiy R. ↓, Zhustjev N. ↑,
73', Sokolov I. ↓, Lipaev E. ↑,
73', Kravtsov Z. ↓, Kuzin N. Y. ↑,
78', Krylov I. ↓, Shleermakher A. ↑,
90', Matyushenko I. ↓, Akimov E. ↑,
90+2', Ustinov V. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Irtysh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kaluga has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Irtysh won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Irtysh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kaluga	12	0	6	6	6:16	-10	6

Last Results with these Odds

Irtysh Omsk - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.16%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.04.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Veles Moscow - Irtysh Omsk	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Rodina Moscow 2 - Irtysh Omsk	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Irtysh Omsk - Leningradets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLLWL
- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.04.26	Kaluga - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Leningradets - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Kaluga	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Kaluga	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Veles Moscow - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
18.10.25	Irtysh Omsk - Kaluga	1:1
19.07.25	Kaluga - Irtysh Omsk	1:2
17.05.25	Kaluga - Irtysh Omsk	1:2
29.03.25	Irtysh Omsk - Kaluga	1:0

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