Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 9

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: FC Krasnodar Academy Stadium (Krasnodar)


	Irtysh Omsk		Metallurg Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.8	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)	3.8 ↑ (3.7)	4.55 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
56%

Draw
24%

Metallurg Lipetsk
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

18.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Irtysh Omsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Lipetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Raifegerste R. (G) 89. Dorofeev N. 25. Galochkin F. 7. Geryugov A. 11. Karev V. 30. Lobanov G. 44. Sadykov B. (C) 6. Saraev K. 17. Shleermakher A. 23. Sholokh V. 41. Zhustjev N.	74. Yavorski N. (G) 11. Borisenko G. 19. Glebov I. 17. Glukhov E. 14. Gordienko V. 25. Khodeev P. 91. Komar S. 27. Korotkikh I. 8. Pakhomov D. 67. Tkachuk R. 6. Velikorodnyi D. (C)
Substitutes
97. Dol Y. 4. Ivankov M. 99. Komissarov A. 49. Korkin P. 19. Larin A. 54. Matyunin N. (G) 60. Poletaev V. (G) 3. Polkovnikov M. 98. Radchenko M. A. 22. Shcherbakov K. 31. Shokhin K. 10. Yanushkovskiy R.	22. Bushuev D. 15. Elizarov M. 4. Gorunkov N. 16. Kobzev A. (G) 23. Kononenko N. 42. Lapshov I. 87. Roshchin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Borisenko G. ↓, Bushuev D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Shleermakher A. ↓, Larin A. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Glebov I. ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, Karev V. ⚽,
59', Pakhomov D. 🟨,
64', Pakhomov D. ↓, Kononenko N. ↑,
64', Korotkikh I. ↓, Gorunkov N. ↑,
65', Galochkin F. ↓, Shcherbakov K. ↑,
75', Gordienko V. ↓, Elizarov M. ↑,
75', Glukhov E. ↓, Roshchin A. ↑,
79', Velikorodnyi D. 🟨,
80', Karev V. 🟨,
83', Dorofeev N. ↓, Radchenko M. A. ↑,
83', Zhustjev N. ↓, Ivankov M. ↑,
86', Karev V. ↓, Polkovnikov M. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Irtysh is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metallurg Lipetsk has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Metallurg Lipetsk have a series of home games.

In this match Irtysh is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
08.09.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Irtysh Omsk	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Irtysh Omsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:1 ✺
25.08.24	Torpedo Miass - Irtysh Omsk	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Irtysh Omsk - Chelyabinsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
17.08.24	Irtysh Omsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLL
- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
08.09.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Murom	2:3 ✺
31.08.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Zenit Penza	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
17.08.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

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