Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Lipetsk)


	Metallurg Lipetsk		Murom

	1	X	2
	3.99	3.25	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (4.47)	3.25 ↓ (3.44)	1.86 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Lipetsk
22.9%

Draw
28.1%

Murom
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

26.5%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

26.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Murom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murom than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kobzev A. (G) 11. Borisenko G. 19. Glebov I. 17. Glukhov E. 14. Gordienko V. 25. Khodeev P. 91. Komar S. 27. Korotkikh I. 8. Pakhomov D. 67. Tkachuk R. 6. Velikorodnyi D. (C)	35. Aysin M. (G) 81. Alexandrov M. 27. Esin V. (C) 7. Giraev K. 9. Kotik A. 10. Makeev K. 15. Matsukatov A. 23. Mikhailov D. 72. Teplyakov V. 46. Vasiliev V. 8. Vyskrebentsev A.
Substitutes
22. Bushuev D. 15. Elizarov M. 4. Gorunkov N. 23. Kononenko N. 1. Korablin P. (G) 42. Lapshov I. 87. Roshchin A. 18. Sazonov I. 74. Yavorski N. (G)	77. Evloev I. 68. Gerchikov L. 11. Kopylov D. 19. Kozin M. 3. Luppa D. 50. Nikiforov M. 1. Sedov E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Alexandrov M. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Alexandrov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Makeev K. ↓, Gerchikov L. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Glebov I. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Borisenko G. ⚽,
57', Giraev K. ↓, Nikiforov M. ↑,
57', Kotik A. ↓, Evloev I. ↑,
59', 2 - 2, Mikhailov D. ⚽,
61', Mikhailov D. 🟨,
63', Pakhomov D. ↓, Kononenko N. ↑,
71', Velikorodnyi D. 🟨,
73', Korotkikh I. ↓, Bushuev D. ↑,
75', Esin V. ↓, Kopylov D. ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Kopylov D. ⚽,
86', Glukhov E. 🟨,
88', Glukhov E. ↓, Roshchin A. ↑,
90+4', Mikhailov D. ↓, Kozin M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).

Metallurg Lipetsk has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Murom is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murom could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Murom is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metallurg Lipetsk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metallurg Lipetsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
31.08.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Metallurg Lipetsk	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Zenit Penza	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
17.08.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Torpedo Miass - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- FC Murom
Russian Cup
04.09.24	Murom - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:3 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
31.08.24	Murom - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Murom	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Torpedo Vladimir - Murom	2:3 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
17.08.24	Murom - Torpedo Miass	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.06.24	Murom - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1

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