Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 12

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Red Star Stadium (Omsk)


	Irtysh Omsk		Rodina Moscow 2

	1	X	2
	2.86	3.34	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 (2.86)	3.34 (3.34)	2.21 (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
31.7%

Draw
27.2%

Rodina Moscow 2
41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.4%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Irtysh Omsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Rodina Moscow 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Irtysh Omsk - Rodina Moscow 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Poletaev V. (G) 27. Bavin Y. 9. Bilalov B. 7. Geryugov A. (C) 71. Kazantsev D. 18. Krylov I. 6. Saraev K. 59. Yanchenko V. 81. Yangaev A. 23. Zhustjev N. 15. Zhustyev M.	33. Stenyakin A. (G) 44. Baranov P. 24. Biryukov A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 69. Khezhev A. 92. Knyazev G. 66. Larionov E. (C) 74. Mushkarin D. 76. Savin N. 87. Stefanishin A. 19. Tikhonov D.
Substitutes
89. Dorofeev N. 5. Dzhikiya A. 35. Medvedev D. (G) 16. Savin A. (G) 20. Sentyurin M. 17. Shleermakher A. 24. Shokhin K. 25. Solovyov A. 97. Tarasov Y. 10. Yanushkovskiy R.	82. Alekhin A. 28. Burlakov M. 30. Danilin M. 98. Khorin A. A. 58. Ladokha D. (G) 27. Larionov K. 83. Lazarev A. 89. Maltsev R. 70. Samko V. 79. Svintsov D. 35. Tarasov R. (G) 90. Vozrastov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Tikhonov D. ↓, Svintsov D. ↑,
30', Krylov I. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Knyazev G. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Geryugov A. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 1 - 2, Svintsov D. ⚽,
42', Yangaev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Yanchenko V. ↓, Dorofeev N. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Yangaev A. ⚽,
60', Yangaev A. ↓, Yanushkovskiy R. ↑,
60', Bilalov B. ↓, Shleermakher A. ↑,
70', Zhustjev N. ↓, Solovyov A. ↑,
70', Kazantsev D. ↓, Tarasov Y. ↑,
73', Khezhev A. ↓, Larionov K. ↑,
73', Knyazev G. ↓, Vozrastov I. ↑,
77', Savin N. ↓, Samko V. ↑,
77', Gordyushenko A. ↓, Danilin M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 5).

Irtysh has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rodina 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Irtysh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Irtysh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow 2	12	8	2	2	23:10	13	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
03.05.26	Leningradets - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Irtysh Omsk	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLLT
- Rodina Moscow 2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
03.05.26	Veles Moscow - Rodina Moscow 2	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rodina Moscow 2 - Leningradets	3:4 ✺
19.04.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Rodina Moscow 2	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rodina Moscow 2 - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Kaluga - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.03.26	Rodina Moscow 2 - Irtysh Omsk	1:2
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
21.09.25	Irtysh Omsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:2
09.08.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Irtysh Omsk	2:1
22.09.24	Irtysh Omsk - Rodina Moscow 2	0:3

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