Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 11

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Petrovsky Stadium (Saint Petersburg)


	Leningradets		Irtysh Omsk

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.2	6.85
	1.3	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 (1.31)	4.85 ↓ (5.15)	7.43 ↑ (6.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
69.2%

Draw
18.6%

Irtysh Omsk
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

17.6%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

16.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Irtysh Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leningradets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

The ML Model estimate for Irtysh Omsk aligns with the current prediction.

Leningradets - Irtysh Omsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Budachev I. (G) 77. Bachinskiy M. 79. Danilov T. 99. Emelyanov D. 81. Gurenko A. 22. Gutsa A. 44. Kalugin N. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 88. Levin V. 2. Nikolaev S. 20. Shkolik I.	60. Poletaev V. (G) 27. Bavin Y. 9. Bilalov B. 7. Geryugov A. (C) 71. Kazantsev D. 18. Krylov I. 6. Saraev K. 19. Ustinov V. 81. Yangaev A. 23. Zhustjev N. 15. Zhustyev M.
Substitutes
13. Dushevskiy D. 10. Gorelishvili M. 69. Kozlov D. 19. Maksetsov A. 17. Muminov I. 31. Orlyansky I. 9. Pershin M. 48. Shcherbitskiy D. (G) 56. Sidelnikov M. 55. Sukhanov N. 66. Tereshchuk N. 7. Ukomskiy A.	89. Dorofeev N. 16. Savin A. (G) 17. Shleermakher A. 25. Solovyov A. 97. Tarasov Y. 59. Yanchenko V. 10. Yanushkovskiy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Emelyanov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Gurenko A. ↓, Pershin M. ↑,
59', Emelyanov D. ↓, Dushevskiy D. ↑,
59', Shkolik I. ↓, Ukomskiy A. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Pershin M. ⚽,
71', Ustinov V. ↓, Dorofeev N. ↑,
77', Kazantsev D. ↓, Yanushkovskiy R. ↑,
77', Zhustjev N. ↓, Solovyov A. ↑,
84', Levin V. ↓, Gorelishvili M. ↑,
86', Bilalov B. ↓, Tarasov Y. ↑,
87', Yangaev A. ↓, Shleermakher A. ↑,
88', Bachinskiy M. ↓, Tereshchuk N. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Saraev K. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Leningradets is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Irtysh's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Leningradets is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Leningradets will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leningradets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.04.26	Rodina Moscow 2 - Leningradets	3:4 ✺
19.04.26	Torpedo Miass - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Leningradets - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	3:2 ✺
08.04.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Leningradets - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTW
- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Irtysh Omsk	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
15.03.26	Irtysh Omsk - Leningradets	1:2

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