Match Info

Montenegrin Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Braca Velasevic Stadium (Danilovgrad)


	Iskra Danilovgrad		Mornar Bar

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.55	1.55
	5.43	3.61	1.54
	6.53	3.88	1.48	Watch
	5.89	3.54	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↑ (5.63)	3.65 ↑ (3.54)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskra Danilovgrad
15.6%

Draw
24.9%

Mornar Bar
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

25.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

24.7%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iskra Danilovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iskra Danilovgrad than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Iskra Danilovgrad - Mornar Bar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Durovic T. (G) 17. Bokan A. 45. Brajovic L. 28. Kaneda R. 2. Karadzic A. 9. Kolundzic A. 6. Markovic D. 8. Obradovic B. 7. Pavicevic P. 10. Scepanovic M. (C) 98. Vucinic V.	12. Popovic S. (G) 15. Baosic J. (C) 17. Dasic J. 7. Denkovic S. 23. Dubljevic B. 32. Ljutica V. 16. Mitrovic F. 97. Pavicevic B. 10. Skrijelj D. 33. Stijepovic N. 19. Vukcevic P.
Substitutes
12. Durovic M. 30. Jovanovic D. 27. Makocevic A. 88. Milic S. 77. Mitric L. 11. Radickovic P. 5. Radonjic D. 99. Tadic P.	8. Djurisic M. 99. Dragovic V. 6. Malesevic L. 25. Martinovic I. 21. Rovcanin M. 9. Sekulic B. 13. Stojanovic V. (G) 11. Yao Y. 18. Zoric D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Dubljevic B. ⚽,
36', 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Denkovic S. (Pen),
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 🟨,
56', 0 - 3, Dubljevic B. ⚽,
69', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iskra won 1.

Iskra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mornar Bar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mornar Bar is a strong favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Iskra won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Iskra won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskra Danilovgrad
Montenegrin Druga Liga
22.11.25	Internacional - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Grbalj Radanovici - Iskra Danilovgrad	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kom Podgorica - Iskra Danilovgrad	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Iskra Danilovgrad - Podgorica	0:0 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
22.10.25	Iskra Danilovgrad - Arsenal Tivat	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTW
- FK Mornar Bar
Montenegrin First League
22.11.25	Budućnost Podgorica - Mornar Bar	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Mornar Bar - Bokelj	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Mornar Bar - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mladost Donja Gorica - Mornar Bar	1:3 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
22.10.25	Mornar Bar - Grbalj Radanovici	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin Cup
30.04.25	Mornar Bar - Iskra Danilovgrad	2:2
16.04.25	Iskra Danilovgrad - Mornar Bar	0:3
Montenegrin First League
21.05.23	Iskra Danilovgrad - Mornar Bar	1:1
18.03.23	Mornar Bar - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:0
26.11.22	Iskra Danilovgrad - Mornar Bar	2:1
Montenegrin Cup
26.10.22	Iskra Danilovgrad - Mornar Bar	2:1 penalties
Montenegrin First League
11.09.22	Mornar Bar - Iskra Danilovgrad	0:0

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