The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mladost Donja Gorica 24.6%
Draw 25.4%
Mornar Bar 50%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.4%
25.8%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
24.7%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladost Donja Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mladost Donja Gorica's form might have worsened.
Mornar Bar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mornar Bar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladost Donja Gorica than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mladost Donja Gorica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mornar Bar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mladost Donja Gorica - Mornar Bar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 0 - 3, ⚽,
56', 1 - 3, ⚽,
71', 1 - 4, ⚽,
81', 1 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladost Donja Gorica won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Mornar Bar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Mladost Donja Gorica has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:23 (averaging 1:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mladost Donja Gorica against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 6:11 goals (averaging 1.2:2.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Mladost Donja Gorica - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.44%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Mornar Bar - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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