Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Iskra Smolensk		Dynamo Vologda

	1	X	2
	3.48	3.12	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.15)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.12 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iskra Smolensk
26.6%

Draw
29.7%

Dynamo Vologda
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.3%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iskra Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Dynamo Vologda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iskra Smolensk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Vologda than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Iskra Smolensk - Dynamo Vologda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Konovalov D. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Veretennikov N. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Ezhkov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8).

Iskra has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dynamo Vologda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dynamo Vologda could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Dynamo Vologda	24	7	6	11	27:31	-4	27
11	Iskra Smolensk	25	6	6	13	24:47	-23	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iskra Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
10.05.26	Baltika 2 - Iskra Smolensk	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Iskra Smolensk - Yenisey 2	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Chertanovo - Iskra Smolensk	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Iskra Smolensk - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Iskra Smolensk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTL
- Dynamo Vologda
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
10.05.26	Dynamo Vologda - Murom	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Luki-Energiya - Dynamo Vologda	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Dynamo Vologda - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Torpedo Vladimir - Dynamo Vologda	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Dynamo Vologda - Irkutsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWW

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