Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 32

Date: 29 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)


	Ismaily		Aswan

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.2
	2.25	2.7	3.45
	2.3	2.96	3.68
	2.25	2.8	3.3
	2.3	2.88	3.6	Watch
	2.27	2.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)	2.82 ↓ (3.01)	3.47 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ismaily
40.7%

Draw
32.7%

Aswan
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

31%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

27%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ismaily's form might have worsened.

Aswan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Aswan aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	21.9%	21.9%

Ismaily - Aswan Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Ismaily will win (votes: 18 - 56.3%). Aswan will win (votes: 7 - 21.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ismaily: 39.1% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Adel A. (G) 22. Sobhy E. 2. El Mohamady B. (C) 6. Nasr M. 3. Desouki M. 18. Hassan M. 26. Aka S. 10. Magdi A. 21. Madbouli A. 11. El Shami M. 30. Annor Y.	16. Hossam A. (G) 11. Mido M. 19. Gamal I. 25. Atwa M. 27. Fathi A. 40. El Sayed B. 26. Ayagwa R. 14. Fathy E. 21. Khaled A. (C) 18. Dilson 9. Hamdi Zaki M.
Substitutes
33. Bayoumi M. 16. Cocu M. (G) 34. El Askalny E. 9. El Deeb K. 39. El Saeey O. M. 40. Hamdi M. 4. Hamdy E. 12. Mohsen A. 7. Shabrawy M.	15. Abdelrasoul M. 2. Belya A. 3. Dahroug A. 20. El Shimi S. 12. Gedo M. 29. Hossam H. 22. Morsi M. 90. Saudi O. 1. Walid K. (G)
Coaches
El Gamal H.	Al Ramadi A.

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 3.

Ismaily is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aswan has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ismaily is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ismaily won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Ismaily won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
08.06.23	Ismaily - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:1 ✺
31.05.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily	2:2 ✺
Egyptian Cup
24.05.23	Ismaily - Nogoom El Mostakbal	0:2 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
21.05.23	Ismaily - Haras El-Hodood	1:0 ✺
17.05.23	National Bank of Egypt - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLWL
- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
08.06.23	Aswan - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1 ✺
01.06.23	Haras El-Hodood - Aswan	1:0 ✺
23.05.23	Aswan - National Bank of Egypt	1:2 ✺
18.05.23	Zamalek - Aswan	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
07.05.23	El Dakhleya - Aswan	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
23.01.23	Aswan - Ismaily	0:0
14.05.21	Ismaily - Aswan	3:2
29.12.20	Aswan - Ismaily	0:2
15.10.20	Ismaily - Aswan	4:2
03.02.20	Aswan - Ismaily	2:1
22.06.17	Aswan - Ismaily	2:3
14.12.16	Ismaily - Aswan	5:0

Ismaily - Aswan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide