Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1


	Ismaily		El Mokawloon El Arab

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	2.68	2.28	Watch
	3.73	2.75	2.28	Watch
	3.5	2.7	2.3
	3.68	2.86	2.24	Watch
	4	2.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.61)	2.72 ↓ (2.78)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ismaily
25%

Draw
34.1%

El Mokawloon El Arab
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

33.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

31.7%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

El Mokawloon El Arab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ismaily (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ismaily (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adel A. (C) 2. Nasr M. 5. Mohamed A. 4. Ammar M. 34. Mostafa A. 8. Traore E. 32. Khatary M. 6. Hassan M. 40. Abdelsalam A. 15. Farag N. 7. Al Nabris K.	1. Aboul Saoud M. (C) 3. Hamed M. 23. Ochaya J. 12. El Wahsh O. 4. Shakoush H. H. 14. Gamal M. 19. Al Kadi I. 99. Mohamed H. 10. Naguib S. 25. Ojera J. 20. Gaber I.
Substitutes
37. Abdelaal I. 19. El Dah A. 38. El Nagaawy I. 30. El Said A. 9. Hamdi M. 44. Hassan A. 13. Mahrous A. (G) 25. Mansour H. 77. Saber H.	21. Abdellah I. 74. Abdelnasser M. 11. Abdo Semana 15. El Tayeeb A. 18. Fawzi M. (G) 24. Hesham N. 26. Kahraba 44. Nader A. 49. Onyemaechi K.
Coaches
Hamdi M.	Mekki M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Mostafa A. 🟨,
45+7', Al Nabris K. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Ojera J. ⚽,
61', Khatary M. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, El Dah A. ⚽, Hamdi M. (A),
66', Mohamed H. ↓, Nader A. ↑,
66', Shakoush H. H. ↓, Kahraba ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Ojera J. ⚽, Gamal M. (A),
78', Nasr M. ↓, Saber H. ↑,
80', Al Kadi I. 🟥,
80', Hamdi M. 🟨,
83', Naguib S. ↓, Abdellah I. ↑,
84', Ojera J. 🟨,
90', Aboul Saoud M. 🟨,
90+6', Gaber I. ↓, Hesham N. ↑,
90+6', Ojera J. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 18 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 0.

Recent performances by Ismaily have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

El Mokawloon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

El Mokawloon might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arab Contractors	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

El Mokawloon El Arab - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ismaily SC
Egyptian League Cup
17.01.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	National Bank of Egypt - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Ismaily - Modern Sport	0:0 ✺
25.12.25	Pyramids - Ismaily	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	Petrojet - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTTWL
- El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian League Cup
15.01.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:0 ✺
12.01.26	ENPPI - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Al Ahly Cairo - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:3 ✺
24.12.25	El Mokawloon El Arab - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
13.08.24	Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1
09.03.24	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily	1:1
31.05.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily	2:2
13.01.23	Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:3
17.06.22	Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0
Egyptian League Cup
27.01.22	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily	0:0
Egyptian Premier League
23.11.21	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily	1:1

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