Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Ismaily		Wadi Degla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.15	3	1.78	Watch
	5.18	2.92	1.96
	4.65	2.83	1.99	Watch
	5	2.9	1.75
	5.68	3.1	1.75	Watch
	4.5	2.8	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.26)	2.93 ↑ (2.78)	1.87 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ismaily
18.5%

Draw
31.7%

Wadi Degla
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

33.4%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

33.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Ismaily - Wadi Degla Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adel A. (G) 5. Mohamed A. 23. Ayman A. 21. Ehab M. 34. Shehata K. 6. Hassan M. (C) 9. Hamdi M. 7. Al Nabris K. 38. El Nagaawy I. 8. Traore E. 15. Farag N.	1. Hossam A. (G) 2. Maher S. 3. Adly O. 24. Ragab M. 5. Dahroug A. 14. Abdelaati M. (C) 11. Abdelrahim M. 33. Miskic D. 34. Kaandorp M. 10. Diasty M. 9. Boli F.
Substitutes
37. Abdelaal I. 40. Abdelsalam A. 44. Hassan A. 32. Khatary M. 13. Mahrous A. (G) 25. Mansour H. 10. Samiae M. 88. Samir M. 17. Wagdi M.	4. Adel I. 44. El Shimi A. 32. Farouk A. 47. Hassan H. 19. Mohamed H. 20. Oya Y. 21. Reda A. 18. Shaaban A. (G) 22. Zizo
Coaches
El Ashri T.	El Sheikh M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Ehab M. ↓, Mansour H. ↑,
35', Abdelaal I. ↓, Samir M. ↑,
43', Adly O. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Mansour H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mansour H. ↓, Khatary M. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Boli F. ⚽, Miskic D. (A),
63', Hassan M. 🟨,
65', Abdelaati M. ↓, Adel I. ↑,
65', Diasty M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
74', Farag N. 🟨,
80', Dahroug A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
80', Boli F. 🟨,
80', Boli F. ↓, Farouk A. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Ragab M. (Own goal),
86', Abdelrahim M. ↓, Oya Y. ↑,
86', Hamdi M. ↓, Abdelsalam A. ↑,
87', Abdelsalam A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 1.

Ismaily is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Wadi Degla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Wadi Degla is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Wadi Degla	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Wadi Degla - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
11.02.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Modern Sport - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
22.01.26	Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:2 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
17.01.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	National Bank of Egypt - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLT
- Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League
11.02.26	Al Masry - Wadi Degla	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Wadi Degla - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:1 ✺
27.01.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Wadi Degla	3:1 ✺
22.01.26	Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:2 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
17.01.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
17.01.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2
Egyptian Premier League
20.08.21	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	0:2
05.03.21	Wadi Degla - Ismaily	0:0
19.08.20	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:1
05.10.19	Wadi Degla - Ismaily	0:1
25.04.19	Wadi Degla - Ismaily	3:0
07.11.18	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:3

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