Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1


	Ismaily		Tala`ea El-Gaish

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	2.72	2.18	Watch
	4.04	2.81	2.26
	4.01	2.8	2.16	Watch
	3.75	2.63	2.25
	3.85	2.7	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.72)	2.73 ↑ (2.68)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ismaily
23.9%

Draw
33.9%

Tala`ea El-Gaish
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

34.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

34.3%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Ismaily - Tala`ea El Gaish Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ismaily will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). El-Gaish will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gamal A. (G) 2. Nasr M. 5. Mohamed A. 8. Traore E. 34. Shehata K. 9. Hamdi M. 25. Mansour H. 6. Hassan M. (C) 32. Khatary M. 10. Samiae M. 7. Al Nabris K.	1. Radwan O. (G) 24. Awad K. 6. Sotohi K. (C) 4. Camacho M. 12. Mohareb I. 21. Khaled Ramadan 14. Hamdi A. 7. Omran R. 30. Atef M. 19. El Gabry H. 28. Ouro-Agoro I.
Substitutes
40. Abdelsalam A. 1. Adel A. (G) 35. Ahmed O. 4. Ammar M. 19. El Dah A. 38. El Nagaawy I. 33. Katkot A. 88. Samir M. 17. Wagdi M.	27. Alaa A. 17. Al Madadha G. 10. Hany M. 23. Keita A. 26. Khaled H. 32. Mostafa Y. 16. Shaaban M. (G) 5. Souissi H. 8. Zola A.
Coaches
Galal K.	Mashhour G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Khaled Ramadan ↓, Mostafa Y. ↑,
46', Mansour H. ↓, El Nagaawy I. ↑,
46', Omran R. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
46', Hamdi A. ↓, Al Madadha G. ↑,
65', Mohamed A. ↓, Samir M. ↑,
71', Mohareb I. ↓, Zola A. ↑,
75', Hamdi M. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
75', Al Nabris K. ↓, Abdelsalam A. ↑,
82', Atef M. ↓, Hany M. ↑,
84', Khatary M. ↓, Ahmed O. ↑,
87', Zola A. 🟨,
90', Galal K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 3.

Ismaily is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, El-Gaish has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ismaily may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

El-Gaish will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	El Gaish	5	2	1	2	5:5	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ismaily - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 24.97%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
20.03.26	Haras El-Hodood - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Al Masry - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ismaily - El Gouna	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Ceramica Cleopatra - Ismaily	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTL
- Tala`ea El-Gaish
Egyptian League Cup
29.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Wadi Degla	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Wadi Degla - Tala`ea El-Gaish	3:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
22.03.26	ZED - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
18.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - ZED	1:3 ET ✺
13.03.26	Ceramica Cleopatra - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
24.08.25	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ismaily	0:1
Egyptian League Cup
20.05.25	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ismaily	0:1 penalties
23.04.25	Ismaily - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0
Egyptian Premier League
13.03.25	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ismaily	0:1
31.01.25	Ismaily - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:2
Egyptian Cup
24.08.24	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ismaily	1:2 penalties
Egyptian Premier League
14.05.24	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Ismaily	1:1

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