Match Info

Date: 30 April 2021, Friday


	Istiklol Dushanbe		AGMK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.25	3.45	2.75
	2.12	3.45	3.05
	2.18	3.71	3.16
	2.25	3.4	3
	2.2	3.64	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.82)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	2.98 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istiklol Dushanbe
42.4%

Draw
26.5%

AGMK
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istiklol Dushanbe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Istiklol Dushanbe's form might have worsened.

AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AGMK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istiklol Dushanbe than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Istiklol Dushanbe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Istiklol Dushanbe - AGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Istiklol is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AGMK is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Istiklol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Istiklol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istiklol Dushanbe
AFC Champions League
27.04.21	Shabab Al-Ahli - Istiklol Dushanbe	0:1 ✺
24.04.21	Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Hilal	4:1 ✺
21.04.21	Al-Hilal - Istiklol Dushanbe	3:1 ✺
18.04.21	AGMK - Istiklol Dushanbe	2:3 ✺
15.04.21	Istiklol Dushanbe - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.1 WWLWT
- FC AGMK
AFC Champions League
27.04.21	AGMK - Al-Hilal	0:3 ✺
24.04.21	Shabab Al-Ahli - AGMK	3:1 ✺
21.04.21	AGMK - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:1 ✺
18.04.21	AGMK - Istiklol Dushanbe	2:3 ✺
15.04.21	Al-Hilal - AGMK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
18.04.21	AGMK - Istiklol Dushanbe	2:3
12.02.19	AGMK - Istiklol Dushanbe	4:2

Istiklol Dushanbe - AGMK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide